I talked to the group sales rep today, and now have a bunch of information to sort through. By way of summary:
Good News: We can sign a contract that would ensure room availabilty any time, even though room rates are not yet out, including for Marathon Weekend.
Bad News: These rates are only "model" rates, and will have to be adjusted when the actual rates come out in June or July.
That said, these are sort of "worst case scenario" room cost numbers, because they are based on 2012 rates + 10%, and actual increases usually range from 5% to 7%. Based on those worst case scenario numbers, room rate estmates are:
Value - $89.10/night (All-Stars)
Moderate - $165.00/night (Port Orleans or Coronado Springs)
Deluxe - $239.80/night (Wilderness Lodge); $284.90/night (Contemporary); $300.30/night (Animal Kingdom Lodge)
Group booking gets us access to discounted tickets as well. The discount varies a bit, based on ticket length. But for comparison purposes (and based on this year's prices, so these will likely go up about 5%), a group discounted 5-day Park Hopper is $293.31 for adults and $275.09 for kids. (Compared to $325.89 for adults and $305.66 for kids, without the group discount). In addition, group-booked Park Hoppers get one free "extra" entitlement at no additional charge. The extra entitlement is good for admission to a water park, DisneyQuest, or a 9-hole round at Oak Trail golf course (DISDads golf tournament anyone?).
Once the 2013 numbers are out, you would also have the option of adding a dining plan.
Group bookings are on an a la carte bases for each reservation as well - you can book a room and buy a ticket of whatever length you wish, with or without a dining plan, etc. I will double-check, but I do not believe that you can purchase Group tickets only, without a room reservation.
Private events are booked after a group contract is in place, and they're priced a la carte. Suggestions from group services included something like an Illuminations dessert party or an early in-park breakfast + "first ride of the day" on a popular attraction. the most popular of those is probably the Sunrise Safari, but it could be done in any park except Magic Kingdom.
There's not much to lose in signing a contract early and locking room availability in place. We have until 60 days prior to the beginning of the group trip to cancel the whole thing with no penalties. There is a cut date at 30-days out, at which we have to release any unbooked rooms from our contracted block. There is a possibility of a penalty if that drops us under 10 rooms, and the rooms can't be rebooked by Disney for other guests.
Just a couple of other notes to this now-rambling post:
1) We are not limited to blocking out rooms at only one resort. The only downside to blocking rooms at multiple resorts is the lack of resort-to-resort transportation.
2) These rate estimates are valid for the entire "Value" season, which is scheduled to run from January 2 through February 14. So these numbers would be valid for either Marathon Weekend or for the last weekend in January.
Comments? Questions? Feedback? Bueller? Bueller? Anyone? Bueller?