Will Nemo end up in history as the #1, #2, or ...

[Bstanley]

Most financially successful animated film...

(as measured in Box Office $ sales - both foreign and domestic).


Finding Nemo is tracking along a curve that projects into the stratosphere of more than $300 Million in domestic ticket sales.

Looking at upcoming movies there are really only a couple that share the same audiences as Nemo - and they just aren't that interesting.

So, will Nemo lose it's steam and stall out at #3, or go past Monsters into #2, or (heaven forbid go right on past The Lion King into the top spot?

Personally I give it a 50/50 shot at #1...

-bruce

 

[Golter]

#2 behind Lion King's 328 Mil but ahead of Shrek's 267 Mil.

 

[KNWVIKING]

Any indication yet of the number of repeat viewers? I think that is what will put Nemo over the top. If this up coming weekend total puts them over 200 mil, I think it has a realistic shot at #1

 

[Mouse Ears]

My own best guess puts it shy of the Lion King in total domestic numbers, but #1 is a real possibility. Nemo is tracking better than Monsters so far and it has less competition ahead. Of course, Monsters got a second boost from the Christmas/New Years holiday.

I'm personally expecting a total very close to Lion King's original domestic run of $312 million, but below the $328 total after the IMAX rerelease. So, my vote is a strong 2nd place showing.

It's worth pointing out that this is ignoring the ticket price inflation between 1994 and present. With adjustments for inflation, Lion King is well over $400 million in today's dollars (clearly out of reach!).

 

[raidermatt]

Just to be clear, worldwide, Aladdin is actually the 3rd highest grossing film, followed by TS2 and then Shrek.

Domestic:

Lion King $328 million
Shrek $267 million
Monsters $255 million
Toy Story 2 $245 million
Aladdin $217 million


Worldwide:

Lion King $789 million
Monsters $529 million
Aladdin $502 million
Toy Story 2 $485 million
Shrek $482 million


Domestically, Nemo seems to be a cinch to pass Aladdin, and probably even the next $20 million to pass Shrek. Lion King could be close, though Mouse Ears makes a good point about adjusting for inflation when judging the totals.

Worldwide, catching The Lion King is going to be a very tall order...

 

[BRERALEX]

I dont think it'll have the repeat customer. It was a great film hilarious and great for dads BUT I just thought it missed something. what i don't know. I recommed it to everyone i talk to about it, but wouldnt see it again till dvd.

I don't think'll catch Lion King. there are alot of kids movies coming out soon. I cant guess where itll end up. maybe right where shrek and Monsters is at

 

[Bstanley]

Well with the estimates for the weekend the model says that Nemo will be able to pass Shrek in Domestic box office eventually - but it's not going to make it past Lion King for the #1 spot (so we won't need to argue about which inflation rate to use to compare them

Now I wonder how it'll play in Tokyo?

-bruce

 

[raidermatt]

Not sure about Tokyo, but it should do well in Sydney...

 

[Wantogo]

Well if you are adjusting for inflation, "Gone With the Wind" is number 1 at over $800 million. ( i didn't want to be left out of the conversation)

 

[AdventurerKat]

I think the debate was on animated films, not films in general. Probably alot would beat it in just the general genre of film.

 

[BibbidyBobbidyBoo]

I disagree on the "repeat" mentioned above- I think there will be a lot of repeat seeing of this movie. We've already seen it twice and I know others that have too (like my sister- just had to take the girls she babysits therefore went again with her kids also).

I know it's a movie my kids are chomping at the bit for it to hurry and come out on video so we can buy it and watch it a bazillion times at home. That's why we've seen it at the movies twice already! LOL