Waggy182 said:
Wrong.
The monorail is less expensive to operate than a ground bus fleet;
Additional monorail trains would increase capacity;
The estimated cost to build a monorail far exceeds the cost to buy a fleet of buses. It would take over thirty years to break even. The monorail was originally built without cost in mind, when Disney was raking in bucks and shareholders were happy. Read Bicker's post for the rest. BTW if you take the capacity of one monorail train, and spread it between three monorail resorts, it's not that efficient. My guess is that you could put the same number of people, if not more, on three buses which require less manpower to operate--three drivers as opposed to nine CM's for one monorail--one driver and two in each station. Labor is an expense you must think of in your equation.
The land around Seven Seas Lagoon is not "environmentally sensitive" and can be developed at any time. (Seven Seas Lagoon is man-made, for those that did not know), and is not under the juridiction of South Florida Water Management District. It is under the Reedy Creek Improvement District, which was created by Disney, (one of Walt's early stipulations for developing WDW in Florida).
That land isn't envirnmentally sensitive, however it's not stable enough to build on. Some of the land on the Epcot line IS environmentally sensitive. Disney is committed to Environmentality, and they have dedicated a large part of the plot as greenlands.
The MK monorail line was in place for 18 years before the Grand Floridian was built on it. Building new resorts on the Epcot Line is very feasible. If you see an aerial shot of the Disney property, you will see how very little is actually developed.
IMHO the MK monorail is at capacity and can not handle another 2000 guests per day. The Epcot monorail line *perhaps* could, although again, much of the land between Epcot and the TTC is dedicated open space.
It's all moot anyhow. WDW has OBVIOUSLY determined various business models for resorts. Seeing as how they haven't even opened all of Pop, they are hardly going to spend the money to build another value. The mods seem to run at a good capacity, although other than the height of peak seasons, are seldom sold out, so I don't see them building another mod. The deluxes are about the same as the mods, especially as more and more former deluxe people are buying into what Disney has obviously determined to be the most lucrative business model--DVC. I doubt they will build DVC on a monorail line, because the extra cost to build it out would skyrocket ownership prices, and it would be difficult to analyze member transportation costs to pass on in dues.
WDW has already announced at least one new DVC complex which they ahven't even started yet. They are also spending money rehabbing various mod and deluxe resorts. I see them having a moratorium on building new resorts because the ratio between resort guests and park capacity must be considered as well, and it seems to me that it's getting up there based on the incomplete Pop project reaching completion.
Anne