What I think will happen changes on a daily basis, so I didn't vote. I am leaning toward some states pushing for June 1, and other states, like August/September (will the possibility of some current non-essentials being allowed to reopen sooner, but not everyone). The ones pushing for June 1 will have 2nd waves, the states that delay might have weaker 2nd waves or not at all. The states and communities will break along political lines so there will be lots of finger pointing and I told you so's.
I get the economy is an issue, but it's not like everyone can go back to work and everything will be fine. The question I ask about small businesses is, "How many of your customers can you afford to lose before your business is no longer viable?" Obviously, 100% shut down is a problem. But I hear so many people saying that they aren't going to go back to normal if they think their community is trying to reopen to soon. The mayor, governor can say all they want, but they aren't going to go back to eating out and shopping at the mall or whatever they need to do besides their job, if they HAVE to. Some people will go back as if none of this happened, but do they represent enough customers that they can keep places in business? Can places lose 25% of their usual business, 50%, where is the dividinThere is g line? Also, I think the impetus for providing government help, or even landlords delaying rent, is an easier "sell" when places are facing 100% loss of customers vs 25%, 30%, etc. Everyone will get themselves worked up over who and how much, when speed is of an essence.
It might make us feel better if people are going to work and places are open. But unless people feel truly safe...it will be a temporary panacea as places realize one by one, they still don't have enough customers, government ordered social distancing or not. Then it will be death by 1000 cuts.