According to the Unofficial Guide to Walt Disney World (often referred to on these boards as UG), Monday, 12/19 should be a level two (= very light crowd conditions). Tuesday, 12/20 should be level 3 (= light crowd conditions). Wed. 12/21, level 4 (= moderately busy. crowds primarily affect headliner attractions). Thurs. 12/22, level 5 (= busy. crowds affect headliner attractions & major attractions). On Fri. 12/23, the predictions jump to level 7 (= crowded. excpect waits of 65 min. or more at headliner attractions, and 40 min + at major attractions).
We were there in December of 2000, when the dates were approximately the same (Christmas arrived one day later in the week) - and we found these predictions to be pretty accurate. We went to MK on Monday and there weren't any long lines - no need to use FastPass. Things were much busier when we went back a few days later, but still quite manageable.
This year, we're arriving on Sunday evening, December 18th. I'm going to do my best to rustle my gang of four to get up for our four days of WDW parks on Monday through Thursday. If we have to take a rest day, then we'll deal with the level 7 crowds on Friday. However, all of the days from 12/24 through New Years are levels 8, 9 & 10. I wouldn't want to be there for
any of those days. (That's when we'll be hanging out in our rented villa with private heated pool, and going to SeaWorld - which never seems to be overly crowded.)
We've never been to
MVMCP, and we have our fingers crossed that the predictions for a party on the 20th will pan out, because that's the only one we would be able to get to.
