nhpooh said:By saying Florida was going to miss this storm, I mean central Fl. As of 1:00pCDT it was 20mi SSE of Gulf Shores AL. THAT IS WHAT WEATHER.COM SAID, That is The Weather Channel.
Sorry to hear that, I will keep everyone in my prayers.MelodyMack said:Pensacola, FL (Panhandle) reporting here...and we are DEFINITELY getting it. Wind is blowing so loud I can't hear the TV, and our power has gone on and off three times today! FYI - Anybody East of the storm, the weathers guys like to call these quadrents (very algebraic of them), is feeling this storm. Rain, flooding and even tornadoes are pretty common effects. So the whole state should be getting some by-product of Miss Arlene.
Keep your prayers focused on all the Pensacolians who still have FEMA blue roofs....we'll be busy this weekend volunterring to re-tarp houses and start collections ALL OVER AGAIN (insert nervous tick here).
OP - I actually wound up having to cancel our October 2004 vaca to WDW because of Ivan hitting us here. I REALLY hope your honeymoon doesn't fall through, but trust me chica, a re-scheduled trip to the world isn't so bad. We enjoyed it even more in March because we knew how lucky we were to have our house, and family, and enough $$$ to even go. This too shall pass...
Mel
Yeah something was different about the upper level winds last year. I remember watching the weather channel during the late 90's and all these huge hurricanes (example Luis?) would get close to the east coast and then get deflected or curved right back out to sea. Last year the storms just meandered around abit - strange!Bob P said:Yes, it's an overall pattern change. Among the reasons is that the South Atlantic water temperatures have been much warmer than normal the last two years, leading to more tropical development than if the water is cooler than normal..



bicker said:Well, to be fair, we have learned a lot over the last 20 years about the nature of climate and the influence of various climatalogical observations on the severity of the hurricane season. We do know that this year is more likely to be worse-than-average than better-than-average, at least in the tropical Atlantic.
