Final Race Strategy for Wisconsin Marathon
Weather
The weather outlook is looking better.
The start will be 57 with 74% cloud coverage and 11 mph North winds. The end of the race will be 52 with 80% cloud coverage and 20 mph North winds. The chance of rain has been downgraded to 13-44%. Honestly, other than the wind this is a good forecast.
The course is a little bit of a loop going North-South. So given the weather, I should have a tail wind from mile 7.5-19. Then for mile 19-26.2 it will be a head-wind. There were approximately 30 people who finished between my estimated time last year of 3:18-3:26. So not very many, but enough that I should find a person or two after mile 19 to team up with. My strategy is to get behind someone at mile 19 and draft and then if someone passes me tag onto them. After a mile or so of drafting, I'll offer the other person the same opportunity off me. Hopefully, we can break the wind together.
Warm-up
I'll do 1 mile at a very easy pace.
Pacing
There are no pace groups or corrals. There is signage to find similarly paces people in the starting area though. I'll line up with other people going for a 3:26 (or a 1:43 half). At the start of the race, I'll implement my Pac-Man strategy. Allow everyone of similar goal time to pass me in the beginning (I imagine they are my ghosts). If everyone around me is going faster, then I'm likely going the right pace. I find most people start races too fast and fade late. I prefer to start slow and finish fast. Chomp-Chomp! I'm coming for you ghosts!
All of the training I've done over the last 15 weeks has one sole purpose. To teach me effort. I memorize the effort necessary to run each training run in an effort to use those memories to define my race day. I check my intervals religiously during training. How many within 5-10 seconds, etc. etc. But when it comes to race day, it's time to go blind. I run by feel. This ensures that I won't have any negative thoughts during the run. It ensures I won't lose my motivation of doing the best I can. I'll do my best regardless of whatever the number says, but not knowing the number removes the chance of it being used against me.
I won't pay attention to my Garmin, but if my pacing is on point I expect mile 1 to be around 8:15-8:25 min/mile. Between mile 1 and mile 4, I'll slowly increase the pace to around 7:52. The first 10 miles will all be at a comfortable pace (similar to how the long run feels (8:33 min/mile)). Once I hit mile 10, it's go time. To me mile 10 is actually mile 1. I visualize the race in two parts: 1-10 and 1-16. So once I hit the second mile 1 I will start to push the pace. I visualize slowly pressing on the gas of the accelerator. It shouldn't be a dramatic increase just a slow increase. I anticipate by mile 19-23 I should be hitting my peak and these should be the fastest miles. As the final stretch comes, I'll keep pushing but imagine that my pace will start normalizing again. Mentally though: start slow, finish fast, and eat as many ghosts (Pac-Man) as I can in the second part of the race.
Outfit
I'll be wearing my new Hansons singlet. It's tight fitting which should reduce the drag in the heavy winds. I'll be wearing my racing shoes, Kinvara 5 Black. I'll have my ipod shuffle for music (it has a clip so it just attaches to my shorts). I'll wear my nathan 10oz handheld bottle to ensure I have water whenever I want it at each mile marker. I'll store two gels in the nathan, one in my shorts, and my wife will hand me one at mile 11.
Hazards
From mile 14-18 there is an equivalence of one mile of pebble gravel road. This isn't ideal for me and my short shuffle stride, but I just need to overcome and push through.
Overall
Regardless of what happens, I'll just enjoy racing again and doing my best. Whatever that time ends up being it's just a number. It doesn't define me. I'll be as surprised at the finish time as anyone else because I won't know until then how fast I've actually been running.
VICTORY LAP!
