roxymama
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Feb 26, 2015
- Messages
- 6,432
you can guess 3:03:01
I do what you say with running, so my guess is 3:03:01
(my hope is any time that equals a unicorn)
you can guess 3:03:01
I do what you say with running, so my guess is 3:03:01
(my hope is any time that equals a unicorn)
My prediction is... 3:00:01
Of course that would likely be a non-unicorn registration time worthy prediction. My BQ is a sub-3:05. However, the last few years have been BQ-2.5 minutes (no way to know in advance), which means I would have needed a 3:02:30 or better. So sticking with a 3:03:01?
3:01:29 - I think your fitness will be good enough to get you sub-3, but your blind pacing will hold you back. As we've discussed before, your pacing during races is not consistent, and you need much less variation in order to get to sub-3.
Would it change your guess if I told you I was planning to not run blind? The plan as of right now is to stick to a 6:55-7:05 min/mile pace through 12 miles. Then whatever happens happens from there.
I'm going with the 2:59:59!My goal is to break 3 hours and run a 2:59:59 or better.