Spring Direct Incentives 2/9-4/27

[Tatebeck]

You have no idea what a resale Poly contract will be worth in 2054, neither does anyone else. It's not a good idea to try to predict things like that, when a huge amount of it's future value is based on DVC's decisions that we have zero control over.

I gave a very wide range because of course I don't know what the exact price will be. But my point is that I am very confident that it will be worth more than SSR! Which I can confidently predict will be worth exactly 0

It has to be worth more than $50 per point especially with inflation that has been pointed out. But with certainty it will be worth than $0 at SSR. If its worth $0 then the world is in shambles and DVC and what they bought years ago is the last of anyones worries.

Exactly what I was thinking

 

[Girlstar30]

Everyone has different experiences. I have not had those. There are ECV's at least every other bus ride, the wind doesnt shut down the Skyliner everyday. I had to wait for a Monorail, is was maybe 4 minutes at most, the bus comes around every 20 minutes. Thats a big difference.

The monorail is great for ecv, people just zip on in. The buses is a nightmare for that, even worse in California where the transportation is run by the city of Anaheim and not Disney and the employees are not helpful and let the ecv user try to parallel park that thing themselves which never works and it takes a LONG TIME.

We always use the toy story parking so Ive seen this before when we made the mistake of thinking the handicapped side would be faster and they allowed us to go behind the ecv users since there was not a lot of people. The evidence is that you can see barely anyone in the handicapped bus line yet it will take so much longer than just going on the regular bus. 4 buses will go by before the ecv equipped one takes off.

I have analyzed this in great length lol. So florida does not have a seperate ecv bus than the regular ones. And there are a ton of ecvs at Disney world, more than ive seen anywhere in my life. So that 100% needs to be taken into account when measuring how long the bus actually takes. The delay causes more people to be in line, which makes the line longer.

I have nothing against ECVs at all and think everyone should be able to enjoy the parks, just pointing out that they do elongate time and that doesnt affect the skyliner and monorail time nearly as much. It affects the big boats too as I noticed when we were there in December that an ecv could not get into the boat because of the gap created by the wind and the person kept struggling and struggling trying to make it and it added on at least 10 minutes to the wait. And they were not the only ecv trying to get on, so you can imagine.

Now you can always take the smaller boats to get around this since the ecv cant fit in those, but you dont have the choice with the bus to take another bus at wdw. So I agree with those that put the bus on the slowest transportation list and I own two bus only resorts.

 

[Girlstar30]

SSR is a bigger contract which usually equates to less $ on resale and a longer time sitting there.
If you are going to say 200 PVB then the incentives would lower that direct price even more.

I am seeing SSR contracts around $90 for the 200 pointers with 30 listings vs only 5 and a low price of $162 for those 150 point contracts.

So if these numbers held true just next year you are looking at a $60 difference at SSR vs $40 at PVB

But if you are needing to sell that generally means you need the cash and we can see with more SSR on the market yours will likely sit for longer.

I paid $82 per point on ssr with 29 years left, how are people going to feel when 2042 hits and their direct contract they paid $150 pp with is worth way lower than that Fine if they never sell and use the heck out of it, but it is something to consider. With resale at least I lost less if I need to sell.

 

[VGCgroupie]

I paid $82 per point on ssr with 29 years left, how are people going to feel when 2042 hits and their direct contract they paid $150 pp with is worth way lower than that Fine if they never sell and use the heck out of it, but it is something to consider. With resale at least I lost less if I need to sell.

$82 is closer to the going rate for SSR than the $100 quoted above.

 

[Girlstar30]

$82 is closer to the going rate for SSR than the $100 quoted above.

Agreed, no one on the boards would pay $100 for ssr. Just last week I was putting in more offers to see if someone would bite in the 70s and although no one did, I had someone tell me $85 and theyll pay mf and caf. My seller paid mf as well. And that was within a half hour of sending offers.

Now these are for 200 point and above contracts.to be fair, which im sure a lot of people eyeing ssr direct right now are considering buying more than 150 points because its the same price as buying 200 points elsewhere upfront. But $100 resale for ssr for 150 points is still more than I would ever pay

 

[VGCgroupie]

Agreed, no one on the boards would pay $100 for ssr. Just last week I was putting in more offers to see if someone would bite in the 70s and although no one did, I had someone tell me $85 and theyll pay mf and caf. My seller paid mf as well. And that was within a half hour of sending offers.

Now these are for 200 point and above contracts.to be fair, which im sure a lot of people eyeing ssr direct right now are considering buying more than 150 points because its the same price as buying 200 points elsewhere upfront. But $100 resale for ssr for 150 points is still more than I would ever pay

Im sure it will get pointed out that most people don't buy at the board members prices. So I will throw that out there before anyone else does. Id say average is on the 90's when all resales are considered across all purchases.

 

[Add-On-Itis]

Agreed, no one on the boards would pay $100 for ssr. Just last week I was putting in more offers to see if someone would bite in the 70s and although no one did, I had someone tell me $85 and theyll pay mf and caf. My seller paid mf as well. And that was within a half hour of sending offers.

Now these are for 200 point and above contracts.to be fair, which im sure a lot of people eyeing ssr direct right now are considering buying more than 150 points because its the same price as buying 200 points elsewhere upfront. But $100 resale for ssr for 150 points is still more than I would ever pay

I would rather pay $100 for ssr, that have double points now (no mf) + all points going forward. Than paying $82 with no point until next UY.

 

[Girlstar30]

Im sure it will get pointed out that most people don't buy at the board members prices. So I will throw that out there before anyone else does. Id say average is on the 90's when all resales are considered across all purchases.

Agreed and thats today. Not the future

 

[muppets3d]

I gave a very wide range because of course I don't know what the exact price will be. But my point is that I am very confident that it will be worth more than SSR! Which I can confidently predict will be worth exactly 0

Exactly what I was thinking

Very true, a SSR contract on Feb 1 2054 will be worth exactly $0.

 

[Girlstar30]

I would rather pay $100 for ssr, that have double points now (no mf) + all points going forward. Than paying $82 with no point until next UY.

I had a fully loaded contract with 9 extra points. Not sure where you got that it was stripped.

 

[Mikey15]

That’s a 20% drop for PVB vs. a $33.3% drop for SSR. And, I’d personally be much more confident in PVB retaining its value than SSR.

% doesn’t matter in this case, only $. % is just a statistic.

Agreed on long term value in favour of PVB if for nothing else than the ten? extra years on the contract.

 

[Mikey15]

$82 is closer to the going rate for SSR than the $100 quoted above.

$102 average for December (DVCRM):
https://www.dvcresalemarket.com/blog/dvc-resale-average-sales-prices-for-december-2025/

I know we’re a bit more aggressive on deals around these parts, but that data is still a good frame of reference for relative movement.

 

[Add-On-Itis]

I had a fully loaded contract with 9 extra points. Not sure where you got that it was stripped.

How! like the following?
like 150 point contract 309 2025 - 150 2026 - 150 2027?

Before I bought BLT resale. I made offer one every single SSR in my UY. Not a single one bite my offer. Must have made like 30 offers

 

[Tatebeck]

% doesn’t matter in this case, only $. % is just a statistic.

Agreed on long term value in favour of PVB if for nothing else than the ten? extra years on the contract.

How you look at it may depend on how you are buying

If you were looking to spend an exact $ amount and get less Poly or more SSR then percent would matter more.

If you are looking at getting the same number of points at either resort, then the $ loss may matter more.

But both favor less of a loss for Poly so it doesn't make a real difference

 

[Girlstar30]

How! like the following?
like 150 point contract 309 2025 - 150 2026 - 150 2027?

Before I bought BLT resale. I made offer one every single SSR in my UY. Not a single one bite my offer. Must have made like 30 offers

Oh no it was 259 250 250. But those double point ones are not typical! I think id pay 95 max for something like that

 

[Tatebeck]

How! like the following?
like 150 point contract 309 2025 - 150 2026 - 150 2027?

Before I bought BLT resale. I made offer one every single SSR in my UY. Not a single one bite my offer. Must have made like 30 offers

I don't think that's possible. Borrowing 2026 point would result in over 3x the contract being available in a single year
Probably was full with 9 extra points. Ex 159/150/150

 

[Girlstar30]

I don't think that's possible. Borrowing 2026 point would result in over 3x the contract being available in a single year
Probably was full with 9 extra points. Ex 159/150/150

Yes correct

 

[Add-On-Itis]

I don't think that's possible. Borrowing 2026 point would result in over 3x the contract being available in a single year
Probably was full with 9 extra points. Ex 159/150/150

2024 points all banked to 2025
for same weird reason they bought OTUP of 9
all 2025 points
= 309

Very unlikely tho!

@Girlstar30 When I bought my resale I was hunting for these fully loaded BLT. I was able to buy 2 of them. I think loaded contracts are under valued. Stripped contracts are over valued in general.

 

[VGCgroupie]

Agreed on long term value in favour of PVB if for nothing else than the ten? extra years on the contract.

12 years more

 

[Tatebeck]

2024 points all banked to 2025
for same weird reason they bought OTUP of 9
all 2025 points
= 309

Very unlikely tho!

@Girlstar30 When I bought my resale I was hunting for these fully loaded BLT. I was able to buy 2 of them. I think loaded contracts are under valued. Stripped contracts are over valued in general.

I thought that at first too, but then remembered OTUP show up as a separate contract transferred into your membership and would not transfer with the sale of a different contract from your membership!