I understand what you are saying about every situation and all, but no One seems to understand that I was presented with a limited window to work in for a contract. Its not for me so I can only do so much.
Well if time is your enemy, then you are in trouble. The key to getting a good resale deal is patience. So I see your point there.
I get the listings before they are released into the wild, I know what a good deal for me would be (I ended up making an offer at AKV that's in ROFR right now).
Good luck!
I was just saying that not all contracts resale are a good deal. Many people still say that resale is the only way to go, and I disagree. When I show you what I used to figure this out, I keep getting told that I must be doing something wrong.
I would be wary of anyone who uses words like "always", "never" and "the only way". So I agree with you there. As far as what you did wrong, it was simply your timing. You're trying to buy a small contract at a time where the supply is short. Not really wrong, but definitely problematic.
I think that some things have changed since everyone assumed resale is a better way to go.
Perhaps. Demand is quite high for smaller contracts.
1 if everyone says that small contracts go for more money per point, the sellers will expect to get anything they want.
The majority, yes. You need to find that one seller who just wants to dump.
2. Sellers think that everyone wants small contracts because they are cheap so they can get what they want.
True.
With Disney opening up 50 point new contracts to new members, the resale pricing might need to adjust. $450 in closing and 100% of dues is adding a lot to the cost per point of smaller contracts that may not make ROFR.
That is absolutely correct. But this is a new development and it will take the market awhile to adjust. I don't think the majority of the people out there are aware of this change in policy. I still haven't seen anything official on it either, just what I've read on the DIS.
Look at the listings right now and find me a small contract that passes muster.
There are a couple OKW and OKW extended contracts out there that can be potentially negotiated down to a good deal.
AKV for $90 a point $450 in closing and dues works out to $107ish a point
Savings of like $300 total is not a good deal
Agreed. But eventually you will find someone who will sell you that contract for $70 or $75 per point, or pay the closing, or waive mf reimbursement. Again it all comes down to how much time you have. As time passes the odds that any event will occur approaches 1:1.
I guess the point you're trying to make is that going resale isn't a no brainer on a small contract, and I would agree with that. But I still say that the potential for something great exists, if you have the time and resources. If not, buy direct and just get it over with. You'll probably have the benefit of snagging somebody's resale through ROFR.
As an aside, is there any reason why your friend is not considering a less competitive 100 point contract? More supply, less demand, greater negotiating power, closing costs amortized over more points...in a lot of cases you can get double the points for only 50% more money. Just a thought.