Prediction for DL Tower price since VGF2

[JasonMak2000]

Got to admit I thought VGF2 price would've been a little higher. This has me rethinking what the starting price for DL DVC tower will be. Initially I would've said starting price will be around $275 but now I'm thinking somewhere between $225-250/pt. Anyone else adjusting their predictions for DL since the release of VGF2?

 

[DLR70]

I agree, I was originally thinking DLT would be close to $300, since GCV is priced so high. I hope it's much lower. Do we have any idea when it might go on sale? Maybe it depends on how well VGF2 sales go and what's happening in the economy.

 

[wnielsen1]

I think DLT pricing will be the same as the other active resorts at that time (incentives may be lower). However, they will make up for it with a ridiculous point chart.

 

[sethschroeder]

Moving forward I think it will be whatever the normal price is for the other resorts.

So we might see 2-3 price increases before DLT actually goes on sale. $207 -> $217 -> $228 -> $238

That is my guess and then who knows where the point charts or incentives will be.

 

[tjkraz]

I think DLT pricing will be the same as the other active resorts at that time (incentives may be lower). However, they will make up for it with a ridiculous point chart.

This

 

[RamblinWreck]

I think DLT pricing will be the same as the other active resorts at that time (incentives may be lower). However, they will make up for it with a ridiculous point chart.

This seems the most likely path to me.

 

[happythoughts & pixiedust]

I'll guess that the next price increase will take the base price to $214. There will be one more that takes us to $220 and then a final one before Disneyland Hotel goes on sale taking us to ~$228-230 base price.

My best guess is, with incentives, add on price @ 150 pts. for existing member will be $225 per point. A big 300 point incentive will run ~$200 per point. 200 points ~$210 pp.
150 pts. will come in right around $35,000 including closing costs.

 

[RoseGold]

I'm still at $275. Completely different market, and I doubt they get permission to build anything else for decades.

 

[kmedina]

I'm hoping low 200s with no restrictions, because I want to buy there. If it has restrictions or is priced too high, I will buy VGC resale. I prefer that hotel anyway, but I wanted a direct contract.

 

[princesscinderella]

We will definitely be buying points there no matter the price. It’s just a matter of how many based on the cost and point chart.

 

[Royal Consort]

People have been conflating the resale price and demand at VGC with the larger Disneyland Hotel DVC tower in error. There a number of quirks that increase VGC price: it has 71 rooms and is a very small boutique property; It's the flagship property with very high occupancy and an increasingly high cash rates to stay; It's the only DVC game in town. Because supply is so low and demand so high, VGC commands a premium. Supply will soon not be so low as the Disneyland Hotel tower will introduce 350 rooms. DLT is not small, flagship, and boutique.

There is virtually no DVC presence in Disneyland. They will need to reintroduce the product again. The market will be west coast owners who may have never been to WDW. The price must be palatable. Disneyland is not the week long vacation that WDW is so the pitch needs to be different. At 150 points buy in, the owner will need to take 2-3 trips per year. Different market, different style: long weekends.

DVC need to price this to sell in a new market not touched since 2009 at a point that attracts west coast buyers. It will sell for whatever the going rate is at the time I imagine.

 

[RoseGold]

There is virtually no DVC presence in Disneyland. They will need to reintroduce the product again.

Really? There aren't booths everywhere, like at WDW? I guess I just assumed they were slinging DVC in California, even with nothing DL to sell.

 

[Royal Consort]

Really? There aren't booths everywhere, like at WDW? I guess I just assumed they were slinging DVC in California, even with nothing DL to sell.

They have 1 DVC guide and their days are variable.

 

[RoseGold]

They have 1 DVC guide and their days are variable.

Wow, guess selling Aulani wasn't going great...

 

[HappyThoughtsTees]

Really? There aren't booths everywhere, like at WDW? I guess I just assumed they were slinging DVC in California, even with nothing DL to sell.

There is a DVC office at VGC which is open daily. However the booths inside the parks, or in Downtown Disney aren't always staffed.

 

[tidefan]

I think they'll sell it at whatever the going rate is for new properties like they did with VGF2. I think the "price rise" will be incorporated into the points charts (Hope I am wrong...)

 

[Wedgeout]

As long as they don’t market it for the rich and famous. Hollywood glitz and glamour. Keep it priced in the current DVC bubble of current sales elsewhere.

 

[DVChris]

Paul mentioned on the DVC Fan FB group today that he thought DLT may not sell as well as people think. I'm wondering if some are using their DLT $$ to buy GF2 instead? I'm definitely thinking about it...

 

[eMoneyBug]

People have been conflating the resale price and demand at VGC with the larger Disneyland Hotel DVC tower in error. There a number of quirks that increase VGC price: it has 71 rooms and is a very small boutique property; It's the flagship property with very high occupancy and an increasingly high cash rates to stay; It's the only DVC game in town. Because supply is so low and demand so high, VGC commands a premium. Supply will soon not be so low as the Disneyland Hotel tower will introduce 350 rooms. DLT is not small, flagship, and boutique.

There is virtually no DVC presence in Disneyland. They will need to reintroduce the product again. The market will be west coast owners who may have never been to WDW. The price must be palatable. Disneyland is not the week long vacation that WDW is so the pitch needs to be different. At 150 points buy in, the owner will need to take 2-3 trips per year. Different market, different style: long weekends.

DVC need to price this to sell in a new market not touched since 2009 at a point that attracts west coast buyers. It will sell for whatever the going rate is at the time I imagine.

well stated. totally opposite against the panic'd worried crowd that love to jump to the $300 and high point chart fear side.

 

[DVCSunDevil]

I still think the DLT price is going to be somewhere around $275-$300/pt. GF2 is a tough comparison because it is priced in line with the other WDW resorts, like Riviera, that are currently being offered direct by DVC. And GF2 has a shorter term of ownership, which makes it's price point somewhat "higher". Finally, GF2 is a refurb...not a new build. The price for GF2 seems about right.

DLT, on the other hand, is being added to a geographic area that is starving for another resort. It is going to be a new build, and I'm sure it is going to be gorgeous. Unlike WDW resorts like GF2, there isn't a lot of competition. And the California/Arizona/Utah/Nevada crowd is going to be all over this resort, especially with how hard it is to currently book rooms at VGC. I would be shocked if the price is below $275 and I expect it to be more around $300.