Number of units a resort can sell

[hooch]

I'm think of buying into SSR. Is there a max number of "units" they can sell? In other words, much like your typical gym membership, if every member showed up one day, it would be impossible to get a machine. With 360 2 bedroom units available at SSR, is it possible for Disney to sell so many "units" that booking one at the SSR (even 11 months out) would be difficult?

Also - is there enough history to this program to see what the resell values are after 10 years? I need to factor in any loses to see just how cost effective this might be for a family of 5 to visit WDW every couple of years.

Thanks

 

[Maistre Gracey]

DVC can not sell more points than the number of points it would take to fill the resort for a year.
Does that make sense?? It other words, they can't sell more rooms than they have.

Personally I wouldn't buy DVC with the expectaion of getting X amount of dollars back in the future.
If you only expect to use it for 10 years make that amount $0, then everything above that will be gravy.

MG

 

[crisi]

Disney sells enough points so that the rooms should be around 95% occupied year round. That means that for certain times of year (like New Years Eve) when demand is high, there are more members who want that time of year than rooms available - and you need to call early to get a room. I've never heard of anything other than a 'specialty' rooms being completely booked day by day eleven months out, but specialty rooms can book full day by day eleven months out at several points of the year.

Specialty rooms:

Standard View or Boardwalk View at BWV
BCVs two bedroom units with two queens
VAKL Conceirge
Grand Villas anywhere
(any more?)

Times of Year:

Food and Wine (particularly for Boardwalk and Beach Club)
Christmas Holidays (particularly New Years Eve)
Thanksgiving
Early December

 

[ZekeKelso]

You can't use past data to predict future resale prices. Folks who bought 10 years ago can sell for more than they paid. Folks who have bough in the past couple years would either break even or lose money after transaction costs.

When I did my own calculations, I assumed resale value would drop by 1/35th a year (35 years left in the contract). This probability overstates the loses in the early years, but I like to be conservative in such calculations.

If DVC makes sense for you with that sort of depreciation, than anything you get at resale above that is gravy.

 

[disneynutz]

I'm think of buying into SSR. Is there a max number of "units" they can sell? In other words, much like your typical gym membership, if every member showed up one day, it would be impossible to get a machine. With 360 2 bedroom units available at SSR, is it possible for Disney to sell so many "units" that booking one at the SSR (even 11 months out) would be difficult?

Also - is there enough history to this program to see what the resell values are after 10 years? I need to factor in any loses to see just how cost effective this might be for a family of 5 to visit WDW every couple of years.

Thanks

It seems to me that in the last year there have been more reports of "no DVC rooms available" than a few years ago. This makes it necessary to use the 11 month advantage of your home resorts. I see the 11 month advantage being a requirement instead of a option in the future.

 

[kerry_mf]

Disney sells enough points so that the rooms should be around 95% occupied year round.

I thought Disney only held 2% back and the rest was sold? Thats the percentage mentioned in the paperwork.

 

[DVC Mike]

I thought Disney only held 2% back and the rest was sold? Thats the percentage mentioned in the paperwork.

The POS all mention that there is “no less than 2%” of inventory that has been retained by the developer. This is usually used to schedule regular maintenance and refurbishment at a particular resort.

The actual inventory owned by DVD at each resort is published in the annual annual dues summary.

 

[crisi]

The POS all mention that there is “no less than 2%” of inventory that has been retained by the developer. This is usually used to schedule regular maintenance and refurbishment at a particular resort.

The actual inventory owned by DVD at each resort is published in the annual annual dues summary.

Which translates to - under ideal circumstances, every room at DVC should be in use - either by a member, under maintenance, or traded to CRO or II. It doesn't quite work that way and its possible (and not uncommon) to find a room available on very short notice, but for the question hooch is asking, they can't sell more points than rooms, but since its a points based timeshare, at certain times of year there is far more demand for rooms than at other times of year.