More cowbell !!!
- May 8, 2017
If the spread is slowed, wouldn't that make it last longer and put it past Q4 2020? Herd immunity begins at 60% total infected. A new study released this morning by Swedish Public Health Authority puts the herd immunity as low as 20% from the studies they did on infection rate on the Diamond Princess and infection rates in the City of Stockholm. Slowing the spread is prolonging the spread. Prolonging the spread means prolonging the resumption of cruising. The infection rate would need to increases significantly for the next few months in order to get exposure immunity in place and then cruising to resume by Q4 2020. With an infection rate of only a few thousand a day in state like Florida that has millions of people, this rate will take us long past Q4 2020. Simple math.I think if FL can get back on track it'll be Q4 2020. A lot of local/county governments are enacting mask requirements and I'm hoping that slows the spread.