Bob, don't confuse entitlement with good business. You're right. NOBODY is entitled to the option of purchasing premium FPs. No argument there, I 100% agree.
However, like DK, I don't thing FPs are the same as "premium parking". Not everybody who goes to WDW even drives. But EVERYBODY (ok, 99.9%) goes on the attractions. The parks, and more specifically the attractions, are the "meat" of WDW. No attractions, no resort (at least not on the current scale). Not even providing the OPTION of paying extra for this privilege to the most loyal and knowledgable guests is a mistake.
I don't have figures, but I would hazard a guess that they alone are a VERY small group compared to the remainder of the "guest" base, mainly because they are, for the most part, the same group (excluding FL residents).
Couple of things. First, remember that if AV is right, this is going to DL first. DL doesn't have DVC. AP holders are mostly locals and make up a fairly significant % of the turnstyle count. I see a very large potential for issues there.
For WDW, your point holds a little better, but the key is your exception "excluding FL residents". You can't just exclude this group. Locals make up a smaller percentage of the overall turnstyle count than at DL, but they are still significant enough, and are more knowledgable about WDW. If they have to wait in a 60 minute line while somebody who doesn't know Donald Duck from Daffy Duck gets what amounts to FOTL access because they booked through AAA, its BAD for Disney.
AP holders are important to Disney. Its why they have Passholder events, lounges, newsletters, etc, etc, etc.
This is just a benefit that one group will get that others do not. It's no different, nor will Disney see it as being different. It is a unique combination of incentives marketed to a specific customer base.
When you view it using target markets and sales incentives, yeah, it looks the same as premium parking or a fanny pack. But again, giving benefits related to attraction access is another ballgame from the CUSTOMER point of view. Especially on a muggy July afternoon.
DVC members most likely will not dump their membership because of it. AP holders will probably still buy AP's for financial reasons. Yeah, you will get upset, but they do not seem to care about that these days, so why be different now?
I'm confused a bit here. Are you merely arguing that Disney will do the dumb thing and not care? If so, I'd certainly grant that as a possibility. Or are you also saying its the right business move? Remember, Disney also thought that eliminating EE wouldn't have an effect on guests staying on-site. After all, who would go through all of the inconvenience of staying off-site just because they couldn't get into MK at 8:00 in the morning?
True, the EE complaints weren't enough to get them to change their mind, but there are a lot more folks who don't book through AAA than those who actually use EE.