If you do have a sell out, it's very unlikely to happen more than a few days in advance. Halloween is (usually) the only date that sells out more than a week in advance.
If this will be your only ticket media for the day (no AP or park admission) you'll want it in MDE before your FP day in order to book FPs for the 4-6pm time frame.
Last year, sold out dates were scattered throughout end of September and all of October. BUT for the most part they do not sell out until the day before the party. No need to panic about tickets at this point.
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