Ike

[Jenvenza]

i hope everybody stays safe i just hope im not going to be stuck in traffic for 22 hrs again!!!

Rita evacuation I presume? Yes, that was loads of fun, wasnt it?

 

[yankeechick]

you guessed it!

 

[TigerKat]

Rita evacuation I presume? Yes, that was loads of fun, wasnt it?

Last weekend wasn't quite that bad, took us 10 hours to go 120 miles. Contraflow on I-59 was a parking lot.

 

[Jenvenza]

Last weekend wasn't quite that bad, took us 10 hours to go 120 miles. Contraflow on I-59 was a parking lot.

Eek - That still sucks - but not as bad I guess. 59 is slow any day of the week, I cannot even imagine it in an evacuation. We got lucky with Rita and left before most people did. It only took us 7 hours for a normally 4 hour trip.

 

[Tiggerlover91]

Good luck everyone. Looks like he's coming in a 2, but that's still nothing to mess around with.

 

[Jenvenza]

Anyone have an updated spaghetti chart? I am not sure where to find them. They are started to evacuate in counties close to us.

 

[TigerKat]

Anyone have an updated spaghetti chart? I am not sure where to find them. They are started to evacuate in counties close to us.

Stay safe.

 

[Camping Cat]

Anyone have an updated spaghetti chart? I am not sure where to find them. They are started to evacuate in counties close to us.

Here's a link.

http://www.skeetobiteweather.com/picservice.asp?t=m&m=09&av=20089611

 

[Gina]

I would be very wary of the models posted on public sites, for several reasons. They were initialized using data less recent than what is out now, for one, but the biggest reason is because none of the models forecast the huge slow down/near-stall that Ike is doing currently. This could have HUGE implications on the track and landfall, as slowing down will give the trough enough time to pull Ike more northward and closer to us. It's going to be bad, even with a landfall near Matagorda -- but one closer to Freeport would be disastrous.

Look at how little Ike is moving:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SATRAPID/anim16ir.html


Many decisions are being made today... Be safe, everyone in Ike's path!

 

[Shutterbug]

NHC's 2 pm advisory has Ike already restrengthed back up to a Cat 2


and estimates have Ike coming in as a Cat 3:

 

[TigerKat]

I am still very worried.

 

[Jenvenza]

I would be very wary of the models posted on public sites, for several reasons. They were initialized using data less recent than what is out now, for one, but the biggest reason is because none of the models forecast the huge slow down/near-stall that Ike is doing currently. This could have HUGE implications on the track and landfall, as slowing down will give the trough enough time to pull Ike more northward and closer to us. It's going to be bad, even with a landfall near Matagorda -- but one closer to Freeport would be disastrous.

Look at how little Ike is moving:

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SATRAPID/anim16ir.html


Many decisions are being made today... Be safe, everyone in Ike's path!

Yes, I am getting a little nervous about this now. My parents live in Beaumont - I wonder if it does hit by Matagorda if Beaumont would be far enough away to evacuate to??

 

[Gina]

Yes, I am getting a little nervous about this now. My parents live in Beaumont - I wonder if it does hit by Matagorda if Beaumont would be far enough away to evacuate to??

Not with the way the models are trending. The latest GFDL that just came out has Ike coming in right at Galveston Bay. And with the way they keep trending east, this storm could end up in Beaumont, easy. I would go north, if you go anywhere! You'll still have a ton of rain and some pretty good winds, but not as bad as near the coast (if that's where you are.)

 

[TigerKat]

Yes, I am getting a little nervous about this now. My parents live in Beaumont - I wonder if it does hit by Matagorda if Beaumont would be far enough away to evacuate to??

Have they issued evacuation orders there?

 

[Jenvenza]

Have they issued evacuation orders there?

Not for Houston or Beaumont - but they have ordered voluntary evacuations for Brazoria County - which is south of Houston - Galveston and that area.

 

[Jenvenza]

Not with the way the models are trending. The latest GFDL that just came out has Ike coming in right at Galveston Bay. And with the way they keep trending east, this storm could end up in Beaumont, easy. I would go north, if you go anywhere! You'll still have a ton of rain and some pretty good winds, but not as bad as near the coast (if that's where you are.)

I am in Houston - my friend says I am far enough inland, but having gone through Rita, I dont want to take any chances!

 

[TigerKat]

Why don't you head to Disney a bit early?

 

[Camping Cat]

Gosh, I hope this is it for the busiest part of the season. My greatest hope is that no more storms threaten the gulf coast this year.

 

[TigerKat]

Gosh, I hope this is it for the busiest part of the season. My greatest hope is that no more storms threaten the gulf coast this year.

 

[Jenvenza]

Why don't you head to Disney a bit early?

I wish I could!! I wouldnt mind that at all!