A window into how I process a potential CC opportunity...
Tonight I received an email from AMEX for my wife to upgrade her BCE (Blue Cash Everyday) to a BCP (Blue Cash Preferred). The offer was for $250 for spending $2,000 in the first 3 months and I have until 10/12/18 to decide.
- I'm very familiar with both of these cards. Both of us have gotten a BCE (mine is closed, wife's still open) and I got a BCP once (also closed)
- The main difference between the cards is 6% on groceries (BCP) vs. 3% on groceries (BCE) (there's also a difference at gas stations and other stuff but those mean nothing to me).
- The other major difference is that BCP has a $95 AF which is not waived in year 1 (on either the signup bonus offer OR the upgrade offer).
- The incognito offer AND support link offer for BCP are both $250 back for spending $1,000 so this requires an additional $1k in spend. (But as I stated, it doesn't include a waived AF so you're net earnings on the signup is $155 + base earnings. If I assume all $1k will be spent on groceries ($60 rewards) it's $215 net @ 21.5%
- On the upgrade offer it would again be $155 + base earnings. If I assume all $2k will be spent on groceries ($120 rewards) it's $275 net @ 13.75%.
- IF my wife does this upgrade she will not be eligible to earn the signup bonus on this AMEX card in the future.
- Do I have a CC slot open with AMEX...hmmm yes, I recently cancelled the SPG biz and only have 4 open CCs for my wife right now
- This upgrade provides a decent return though with NO hard pull and NO new account that would count against 5/24.
- We're currently in the midst of our double dip MSR and need to meet that spend by early November.
- IF I did this upgrade in early October it would carry us through the holidays into early January. Since groceries is the category bonus I could buy gift cards to various stores and VGCs to run ALL my spend through the category.
- The next step on our strategy was an AMEX biz card in November...hmmm this almost functions like an AMEX biz card.
- So if I do this I can't later earn the signup bonus for her on this card...BUT was I ever really going to dedicate a 5/24 slot to a $215 signup bonus value?? I know that I signed up for it in my name...but that was when I was getting every AMEX card under the sun while getting my wife back UNDER 5/24.
- This also would put a 6% earner in my wallet for the next year until the AF posts again. Hmmm I could put some regular AMEX spend on this card and maybe avoid the dreaded "Ineligible Popup". Normally I'd downgrade this card after a year...but MAYBE I need to consider dedicating $6,000 in grocery spend a year to keep on AMEX's good list. AND I pay the $95 AF to earn the 6% back vs. the 3% back and net an additional $85 in rewards a year. (It ends up being $6,000 x 6% = $360 - 95 = $265 @ 4.4% vs. $6,000 x 3% = $180 @ 3%).
Lots to consider here, and I have some time to think about it. BUT with this new 48 month provision and continued crackdowns on churners, I may need to start to consider employing some excellent daily drivers. My 4 Freedom Cards and a Discover card are good. An AMEX BCP might be another good one to have. Right now I'm leaning towards taking the offer.
If this comment seems really scattered it's because this is literally how my brain worked through it, LOL! I take my CC offer evaluations SERIOUSLY folks



