I'm another one "on the fence" about buying in. We've gone the last 2 years and rented ressies and it's been a huge savings over what we would've paid otherwise (or for the same money we would've been in a value or moderate for the same money that we paid for a 1 BR at BCV and our studio at SSR). I keep doing the math and it all boils down to how often are you planning on going. For us, DW, DS-5, DD-2months and me I see us going at least every other year for the next 10 years. To state the obvious going to WDW ain't cheap when you factor in airfare for 4 from Chicago, park tickets, food, and a room. Each of our previous trips have been about $5K when it's all said and done.
The one thing that I've seen left out of most of the analysis done on whether to buy or not is the resale value. Most people do the math assuming you'll own this until expiration (2042 or later). The way I see it is I buy a 75-80 pt resale contact, and I pay $100/pt upfront (or finance it). If my first trip is next year and I have banked my 09 points, I will have paid 2 yrs of dues (roughly $800 assuming 80 pts and $5 dues), otherwise I would have paid $1500 if I rented a ressie (savings of $700), or closer to $2500 (at least) going straight thru Disney. Now if I can recoup $700 per trip, and I take 5 trips making back just under 1/2 my investment I'm in good shape. If I decide in 5 years that it's not for me I can sell (albeit at a loss) and get back some of my money.
I figure that by not going this year, I'm saving $5Kwhich will cover most of what I'd spend on owning DVC. Perhaps not the most intelligent view, but to a certain extent it's a reality. You work to make money to provide for yourself and family, and be able to do the things you really love doing. If for $8K (which will not cause any major financial hardships on us) I can own my own little piece of Disney and I HAVE to go there every other year, oh well..........
Not sure what I'll end up doing, and I would suggest you continue to solicit the advice here because you'll get every possible angle. But remember this is a decision that YOU need to make, take in all of the information you get and decide if it's really for you.
Good luck - perhaps we'll both be flipping a coin on the same day making the decision![]()
Chris
To add to the above, another way to look at it is assuming you can afford it now (whether that means you pay it off completely or finance a part of it), each trip you make should save you "some" money which lowers your cost basis. If I recoup $5 pt for each trip I make, that helps give me some cushion should I want/need to sell in 5-10 years. This should help offset some of the decline in resale values (since it's an expiring asset all other things being equal prices should naturally decline in the future).
Again, DVC is not really a wealth builder or equity creator, but at the same time it's not as if you're completely throwing money away.
Good luck on your decision,
Chris