cewait
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Mar 3, 2000
- Messages
- 5,695
Not to create any panic but here are the weather conditions seen since 1998. We are roughly 30 days out so it is a good idea to think through your plans for dealing with Race Morning Weather.
The low roughly equates to race start or about an hour into the race. The Mean is a good guess of the finish temps for the full and the half finish temps somewhere between the Mean and the Low. Note that the races were held as one in 2005 and earlier, so only one observation.
So what does this mean.....
The race temps at the start have ranged from a balmy 63F down to a 27F. Finish temps have ranged from around 74F down to less than 35F. For planning purposes... The average temperature gain through the race is about 11F....
Date -------------HI------LO------Mean------Rain
---------------------------------------------------------------
1/8/2011-Half---72------48--------60---------0
1/9/2011-Full ---66------42--------54--------0
1/9/2010-Half---41------31--------35--------Sleet!
1/10/2010-Full --45------27--------35--------0
1/10/2009-Half--73------48--------60--------0
1/11/2009-Full --73------51--------62--------(Post Race)
1/12/2008-Half--81------61--------69--------0
1/13/2008-Full --76------58--------66--------0
1/6/2007-Half---83------67--------75--------0
1/7/2007-Full ---84------63--------74--------0
1/7/2006-Half---56------40--------48--------0
1/8/2006-Full ---66------34--------50--------0
1/9/2005---------81------57--------69--------0
1/11/2004-------64-------39-------52--------0
1/12/2003-------62-------44-------53--------0
1/6/2002--------71-------51-------61--------rain
1/7/2001--------70-------31-------51--------0
1/8/2000--------78-------61-------70--------0
1/10/1999-------60-------45-------53--------0
1/11/1998-------70-------47-------59--------0
--------------------------------------------------------
Averages--------69-------46-------58
The low roughly equates to race start or about an hour into the race. The Mean is a good guess of the finish temps for the full and the half finish temps somewhere between the Mean and the Low. Note that the races were held as one in 2005 and earlier, so only one observation.
So what does this mean.....
The race temps at the start have ranged from a balmy 63F down to a 27F. Finish temps have ranged from around 74F down to less than 35F. For planning purposes... The average temperature gain through the race is about 11F....
Date -------------HI------LO------Mean------Rain
---------------------------------------------------------------
1/8/2011-Half---72------48--------60---------0
1/9/2011-Full ---66------42--------54--------0
1/9/2010-Half---41------31--------35--------Sleet!
1/10/2010-Full --45------27--------35--------0
1/10/2009-Half--73------48--------60--------0
1/11/2009-Full --73------51--------62--------(Post Race)
1/12/2008-Half--81------61--------69--------0
1/13/2008-Full --76------58--------66--------0
1/6/2007-Half---83------67--------75--------0
1/7/2007-Full ---84------63--------74--------0
1/7/2006-Half---56------40--------48--------0
1/8/2006-Full ---66------34--------50--------0
1/9/2005---------81------57--------69--------0
1/11/2004-------64-------39-------52--------0
1/12/2003-------62-------44-------53--------0
1/6/2002--------71-------51-------61--------rain
1/7/2001--------70-------31-------51--------0
1/8/2000--------78-------61-------70--------0
1/10/1999-------60-------45-------53--------0
1/11/1998-------70-------47-------59--------0
--------------------------------------------------------
Averages--------69-------46-------58