how much tax ? no write off?
I'm curious, where in your analysis do you account for the fact that you are spending $15,000 up front to put yourself in the position to "profit" about $1,500 a year? I may have missed it, but I don't think I saw your thinking there. Thanks for helping me to understand better.buying points through resale for example at saratoga for about 200 points would be about $15,000 with dues only about $1120 per year. Seems to me that if the $15,000 is paid off in full at time of buying and we are only paying the annual dues, renting them out at about $13 per point would get us about $2600 which is little more than what our average round trip flights cost.
Can you please explain what you mean when you talk about renting out twice a year? You only get 200 points, and you can only use those points once, so I'm not sure where the second rental comes in.Seems to me that if we rented it out only once a year then in 5 years we would get ROI. If we rent out twice a year it would be sooner. Again this is based upon buying about 200 points resale at saratoga for the average it's going for of about $15000.
I'm curious, where in your analysis do you account for the fact that you are spending $15,000 up front to put yourself in the position to "profit" about $1,500 a year? I may have missed it, but I don't think I saw your thinking there. Thanks for helping me to understand better.
I just bought my SSR at circa $10500 for 160 point contract after deduction of a 160 point rental I made with banked 2016 points I could not use. This is including closing . I raised $1808 on that first rental, all points gone, money in my account in 22 hours. Dues had already been paid by seller on those 160 banked points. 101 of those points went in 30 minutes, money in my account 4 hours later. In the current market you will very likely rent all points, with minimal effort, very quickly. So now my base cost is $10,500. Dues are $864pa. Yes they will go up, but assume rental prices will go up (I am surprised they are not higher now, as demand is outstripping supply- they will go up shortly I am sure.) So my profit is $944 pa, or a rate of return of 9% which isn't half bad. This assumes that going forward everything stays the same re cost and rent- but any property rental is the same. This also assumes I can get back my $10,500 when I come to sell. That is the question. SSR expires 2054. If I wanted to get rid in 2044 with 10 years left, taking into account nearly 30 years of inflation, will I get back $10,500. I'd suggest that is a very good bet- the points are worth what they are worth against a cash booking, and cash bookings will be much more expensive than they are now.
Of course, I bought my points to use, not rent, and commercial renting is not allowed, so that may cause some difficulties (albeit I have not heard of this being enforced). However, back to the basic question could you buy for an investment- the answer I think can be yes, but there are better investments. Also if you go and buy Copper Creek at $179 a point, the numbers will be nothing like my example, and you will not likely make a profit.
Yes they will go up, but assume rental prices will go up (I am surprised they are not higher now, as demand is outstripping supply- they will go up shortly I am sure.)
Yes of course, that is a key element, but the longer the period of investment the less important getting that original sum back is because of inflation. There will be a sweet spot. If I just kept it and kept renting it out to end of life, then the return would go down, but given the length of investment (20+ years) and the inflationary effect on the original fairly modest purchase price, it probably would not be worth the bother of selling it after a certain point, and if I couldn't use it I'd likely just keep renting to end of life. The rate of return would go down a bit as I don't get my $10,500 back at year 20 but instead have extra profit trickling in over the years instead. However, if we assume a 3% level of inflation over the 37 years the contract has left, that $10,500 would in 37 years be worth circa $750 (I haven't done the exact calculation) at 37 years, so there comes at point it is not worth the hassle of selling and just take the rental until the end of contract. If everything remained the same at say $900 profit a year, it would still be a decent rate of return as you cashed in your last rental in 37 years' time and walked away.This is a more detailed analysis than the original post and I think it highlights the mechanics and potential issues of this situation. I highlighted one great point you made about being able to recapture your initial purchase price. If you can't, it skews all the numbers in a very unfavorable way. Treating a timeshare as an investment vehicle is inherently risky. I think we've seen situations where it has worked in the past. But I can't help but wonder how many times it hasn't worked out that we haven't heard about.
Yes agree, there are a lot of variables. I don't think any serious investor would buy DVC, because of those variables. But I think it is nice to think as a DVC owner, that if you cannot use the points, you can rent them out (at least at the moment) at a decent rate of return and 'possibly' you could actually make some profit out of the contract if for some reason you found yourself unable to use it. I also think it is nice to think if you got a good deal resale, there is a good chance after you have had a lot of vacations and got good value, that you maybe possibly be able to realise much of your original expenditure.I think you may be correct, but I wouldn't go so far as to say that I am "sure". I'm not sure about anything when it comes to DVC.
Rental prices have actually gone up quite a bit in recent years. Back in 2011 when I purchased my first DVC contract, rental points were in the $10-11 range. The real issue is that the price of rental points is dictated by the point brokers. In order for them to start paying more, they have to start charging their customers more, and I'm not so sure they're in a rush to do that. There is a point where that will happen again as it has happened in the past, but in the meantime it appears as if it's preferable to simply try to manage a bulging demand than to tinker with the financial model. As an owner, I am very much looking forward to the next $1pp jump in rental prices.![]()
I'm curious, where in your analysis do you account for the fact that you are spending $15,000 up front to put yourself in the position to "profit" about $1,500 a year? I may have missed it, but I don't think I saw your thinking there. Thanks for helping me to understand better.
Seems to me that if we rented it out only once a year then in 5 years we would get ROI. If we rent out twice a year it would be sooner. Again this is based upon buying about 200 points resale at saratoga for the average it's going for of about $15000.
To me, this is the big flaw in the OP's assumptions. You don't actually start "saving money" until you make back that original investment of $15K. Which would take what, about 10 years? Until then, the money you make from renting is just paying you back for the initial expenditure. In short, you're spending a whole lot of money to make a little bit of money.
This seems to be another flaw in logic. You have to think of it in annuity terms. The current price is the present value of future payments. Holding it to maturity should actually increase your return because of the risk premium. You can't sell it for more than it's worth.If I just kept it and kept renting it out to end of life, then the return would go down,
OK, I'll take your word for that one!This seems to be another flaw in logic. You have to think of it in annuity terms. The current price is the present value of future payments. Holding it to maturity should actually increase your return because of the risk premium. You can't sell it for more than it's worth.
I was googling things and I actually found a thread here on the DIS of all places dealing with this.
https://www.disboards.com/threads/w...come-tax-liability-for-renting-points.809954/
This seems to be another flaw in logic. You have to think of it in annuity terms. The current price is the present value of future payments. Holding it to maturity should actually increase your return because of the risk premium. You can't sell it for more than it's worth.