Getting harder to get a reservation

At the end of the day, all points are used to book villas. How those villas get occupied is the question.
 
That's not how it works.

Even when (for the sake of argument) more pts were spent on cruises, those pts were still used by DVC to book villas at wdw (in order to get cash by renting through CRO so they could pay the cruise division for the cruise).

Assuming it's true that more resale owners means fewer trades for cruises, that would only help explain why we get fewer questions about "why are villas available on disney.com for cash but I can't book anything on pts."
Sorry if I wasn't clear. I understand how it works. What I'm saying is that if you're a resale owner who knows that WDW is your most appealing option, you're more likely to book further in advance. I think that's why it's booking up earlier than it used to. Plus, it' a reinforcing problem. It gets harder to book, so people book earlier, which makes it even harder to book, etc...
 
Sorry if I wasn't clear. I understand how it works. What I'm saying is that if you're a resale owner who knows that WDW is your most appealing option, you're more likely to book further in advance. I think that's why it's booking up earlier than it used to. Plus, it' a reinforcing problem. It gets harder to book, so people book earlier, which makes it even harder to book, etc...

I think you're far over estimating recent resale buyers vs owners who are qualified to use points for cruises and such.

But owners may be getting savier and realizing the value lies in using the points within the DVC resorts. Or the times have just shifted that are popular as there's still 7-8 months or so that are not that difficult to book.
 
Does anyone know how many owners are resale owners now? I would think the limitations on trading out points, especially for DCL, might be increasing the number of points that get 'spent' at WDW.
Even when everyone had the option, only a VERY small % used it, appropriately so given the returns or lack of.
 




















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