People do not currently howl when they can't get an ADR ahead of their visit (at least people not on this board don't).
I am not sure about that. There was lots of howling about people booking multiple ADRS for the same meal and making up their minds later. Now with the $10.00 fee per person that has been alleviated some. But, If people couldn't get ADRs for LeCellier on line, but could get them if they showed up in the park first thing to grab them, that would lead to further unpleasantness.
Disney gives you alternate suggestions and tells you that you can change your selections up until your first selection starts
.
That is what I am expecting for the day of FP+. Show up to the park and look at your
MDE APP, click on Splash! Sorry no FP available, but there are plenty of spots for Jungle Cruise, POTC, and Little Mermaid.
And you are still basing all of this on the idea that all patrons want the same rides. I refute this idea. The mountains in MK are not the top priority for my traveling party and I can imagine other parties that might feel the same.
Based on the current FP system, the Mountains are the hardest rides to get a FP. So that would seem to hold true, unless Mousermerf is correct and everybody uses their FP+ on meet and greets and parades. But typically Space Mountain and Splash Mountain would be the most difficult to get. I also think the physical barrier of actually walking all the way back to BTMRR keeps people from booking that one (they grab Splash first if they walk back there.) BUT if I can book Splash and BTMRR on my phone I would do both.
Enchanted Tales with Belle might be the hottest ticket now!!!
And it has always been 'if you get there early enough' so I don't see how this new system changes that part and makes people upset.
Its not changing, Early bird now though is 60 days before check in.
And MK has a lot more visitors per day than the other parks and MK has the most e ticket attractions or attractions that can be billed or sold by WDW as eticket
I'm mostly saying that neither of us knows exactly how this will roll out so we should keep an open mind
You do bring up a good point. IF people are limited to 3 FP+ and regular FP goes away. AND most people burn their FP+ on meet and greets, Belle's tales, Parades, and quick service meals. Then FP+ availability for the e-ticket rides could theoretically be in surplus! And then the bonus passes would be sent to select people in the parks. People other than those linked to Mom2trk!
