I haven't weighed in on this thread in a while, but I have been diligently reading along. So here we go...
Somewhere in this thread, I had asked about people scheduling 60 days (or however long) out and then NOT using their time slot for whatever reason (they decided to go to a different park, didn't want to ride then, etc). I know that Disney put CC holds on some ADRs because of no shows. How do you think they could control for FP+ no shows? Wouldn't that kind of defeat the purpose if people scheduled but then didn't show up? With the current system, I'm sure there's a certain percentage that don't use their FPs for whatever reason. Many times we just hand them to other families on our way out. That won't be possible with FP+. So would those slots just go unused??
The difference between an ADR going unused vs. a FP reservation going unused is $$$. Potentially (not always by any stretch) a CM working the host stand at 'Ohana could say to the first two families who walk up before dinner service starts and asks if they could wait for a table that they are free to wait but it could be an hour or more for a table. So two families stay, but all families after that are turned away. There's no other standby queue to pull people from if someone no-shows on an ADR. So that one empty table during dinner service costs Disney $XX.
Whereas with FP (or FP reservations), the place in line simply gets filled by the next FP person or someone from the standby line. It costs Disney absolutely nothing. Disney sees FPs as a courtesy to guests, nothing more.
If it helps, we could all make some up for you.....
I have been encouraged that the lack of more kiosks in the parks yet is due to technical glitches slowing down (changing?????) the entire project. But I've also been afraid it could just be that they are working on them behind the scenes and could potentially just show up overnight.
As for the tickets, back when this discussion started in earnest, someone threw that idea out there (maybe bcrook even then???? I've lost track.) But it would be somewhat like airline tickets with dynamic pricing. I could TOTALLY see them doing that. But it saddens me as well. My only recourse in all of this has been to stick with trying to find the slowest time of the year I can stand the weather and going then, hoping any FP adjustments would have less impact. But I do think Disney's discount offerings have already shifted many of the peak crowds into those slower weeks. Add dynamic ticket pricing and it would undoubtedly shift even more. It's just starting to feel like a losing battle.
I'm feeling far more cynical that one night, Disney will simply unscrew half the current FP machines and plug in the new FP+ kiosks. Those machines and their wiring already had the infrastructure to connect to the park's mainframe (to lock people out until they were due for another FP).
At a Dine with an Imagineer lunch I attended in January, the Imagineer is a project manager for New Fantasyland. He oversaw Ariel's ride and Grotto before their opening and now is overseeing the 7 Dwarfs coaster. He had some really interesting tidbits about how the attractions were the first to have the RFID and next-generation system technology built right in. He happened to mention that as other attractions have gone down for refurb in the past 18 months, that same technology has been retrofitted into those attractions.
I've had a feeling all along that's where they would head with the numbers. That it would be a moving target. I could be wrong, but if they go with dynamic pricing AND dynamic FP allocations, they are putting themselves dangerously close to complicating too much for the average visitor. And isn't that the visitor they seem to want to be helping?
They would do well to follow the KISS principle. "Keep it simple, stupid".
Can you imagine the ticket questions on these boards if they went to dynamic pricing? Instead of 10 threads a day asking if they can add days to their tickets, people will be asking "my current ticket is a C-stage ticket, but if I add a day to the beginning of the trip, will it bump it up to a B-stage ticket." Oy, poor Cheshire Figment.
This was my point. If they can't even get their WEBSITE to work correctly and consistently, HOW IN THE WORLD are they going to manage something as HUGE as FP+???? If you don't even have the basics down, you can't jump to the big stuff. For an example, the Disneyworld site is down AGAIN TODAY!!! Couldn't make an ADR if I WANTED to do so!!! That's JUST NOT GONNA WORK for all this new stuff they want to do. Work out the bugs in the stuff you've GOT first. THEN think about expanding!!! Its very simple.
Fun Disney Web site story... In January, we had a pre-opening Akershaus ADR. I brought my confirmation number with me, as any good Disboarder would. And when we got to the International Gateway, we weren't on the early ADR list. But since I had my confirmation, they waved us through.
We got to the host desk at Akershaus and they couldn't find us in the system. The CM called over their supervisor and he took our confirmation number and began looking through the computer. Apparently, when he looked up the history of our confirmation number, he saw the date when I made the reservation and saw that the system canceled it about two months later. Not a CM cancelling it, simply the system doing it all on its own.
The supervisor apologized for the inconvenience and said this wasn't the first time he'd encountered this and it was supremely frustrating for the guests and the CMs. They had no problem fitting us in, but can you imagine if this system rolls out and just starts deleting random FP+ reservations from the system??!?
I'm also terrified of what is supposed to happen if the system goes down for whatever reason. What happens in the parks? How do people check their FP times? How do the CMs check people into the FP lines? Disney's track record with IT isn't good and yet they're putting all their eggs in the IT basket.