Disney Fanatic said:
I would think that quite a few rooms open up at the 31 day mark or so you would think.
DVC doesn't release any such data, so it's near impossible to debate either way.
My guess is that cancellations do see a little bump in the days preceeding the 31-day mark. However:
* They will be of varied room sizes and resorts.
* They won't all be cancelled at once.
* Someone on the waitlist would be immediately booked into the room. (The waitlist is reset at 30 days out, but most of the cancellations you describe would still be passed-on to waitlisted members.)
* A caller could snag a room minutes after it's been cancelled by another member.
* Under 60 days prior to check-in, all vacant DVC rooms are released to CRO for cash guests, meaning they could get snatched by cash guests if they happen to call first.
There are many examples of people booking rooms on short notice, and I think that will continue. But you won't ever have much of a choice of resort, and you may have to settle for a room size that's larger/smaller than what you normally desire.
Most times of the year you will have SOME options on short notice, but don't come away from this with the impression that calling 29 days ahead of time will provide you with a myriad of options from the "dozens" of cancellations that just occurred.