I am not whining, I am really not too affected. The fact is no one knows the real REASON for the change. You can accept Disney's statement at face value, however I am skeptical. Just because they CAN make the change, does not mean they won't BENEFIT from it. Oh, they will. Maybe not today or tomorrow, but they will. Considering Disney's fiancial situation, they need many pots to pull their profits from.
It's possible that Disney will benefit...but it's also largely irrelevant, IMO.
Does Disney benefit from our $100 AP discount? Do they benefit from giving us free Internet service? Do they benefit from the Member Mixers? Do they benefit from putting nicer mattresses in the rooms?
Perhaps, but since members also benefit from those changes I don't see the reason to split hairs over it.
In today's economic climate I doubt Disney has a good enough crystal ball to predict that DVC sales will indisputably tilt in their favor after the reallocation. As I've said, DVC may gain some sales from small add-ons but they are also likely to lose sales due to a lowering of DVC's financial benefits (Sun-Thurs stays no longer as good of a value) and the perceived loss of goodwill from some members.
I think the most likely beneficiary would be the parks & resorts division (rather than DVC/DVD) if overall occupancy levels rise at the DVC resorts. Higher occupancy theoretically means more guest spending on food, groceries, souvenirs, etc.
You're welcome to question DVC's motivation. There's enough gray area in discussing the tipping point for the reallocation...especially when we've gone 14 years since the last one. But unless you're accusing them of lying to members, DVC's public statement about the reallocation being to "balance demand" is all the justification they need.
Not sure why my post got moved into this monster - all I really wanted to know is if I can expect the seasons to change often.
Nobody really knows.
It has always been within DVC's right--some of us would say it's their obligation--to adjust for changes in demand patterns. They did it back in 1996 and now for 2010. For years many have been questioning why there had not been a reallocation.
I agree with others who think some of the seasons are still out of whack. This 2010 adjustment could just be a precursor to another adjustment in 2011. DVC is limited to only changing the points 20% for any given day from one year to the next. And in some cases they did adjust the full 20%. Does that mean further adjustments will immediately follow?
DVC could also could wait a few years to completely re-evaluate things.
At this point I think the only safe bet is to count on DVC adjusting every few years. If they do so on a consistent basis, the adjustments should be very minor. It's because they waited so long this time that the modifications were so extreme.