I think the big 2013 increases are directly due to the fact that Fantasyland is opening up, and they are anticipating lots of people coming to see the new addition to the Magic Kingdom. Just look at the crowds DCA has been experiencing in
Disneyland. Ticket prices have gone up twice in the last year, dining has gone up, yet people who haven't been to Disney in a while might want to come because of Fantasyland, and Disney lovers will come in 2013 to see it too. From a business standpoint, the costs of paying for a huge addition to the parks needs to be recouped, so the increases are probably there to help repay the millions spent on the new addition. They probably even did market research on the dining cost increases just to see how people would respond.
I thought their prices were getting a bit expensive, so I began pricing out other family resort vacations like Beaches (all inclusive resort in Turks and Caicos), and guess what? The cost of deluxe Disney and a Caribbean deluxe all inclusive were the same. I looked at several places, and it's like all of them know that $6000 is the price range for a deluxe all inclusive resort experience for a couple with one child for a week. Go figure. Now there are several other options both in Florida and the Caribbean that are much cheaper, but the ones that tout being family and child centric and deluxe all inclusive were all about the same, and even had similar discount pricing structures. Now I'm not one to spend $6000 on a vacation, but obviously there are plenty of people who are willing to spend it, otherwise it wouldn't be standard pricing across several resorts. Looking at tours in different parts of the world as well, I would say that $2000 per person was pretty standard. Disheartening for me, as I'm not going to spend that kind of money for a vacation any time soon, but that's where being vacation savvy comes in.
I think posters are right in that the "all inclusive" option is appealing to a lot of people. If you want to be savvy, then definitely price it out. The biggest thing is to look at other discount options.
Free dining at a value resort for a family of 3 is an incredible value because those resorts maybe get up to a 20% room discount normally, and paying OOP for counter service food in the parks, I would probably spend at least $40/day total if I was conservative. Going during a value season, that's about a 40% saving on the room. If you take the counter service as its actual cost of $89.48/day for our family of 3 in 2013, we are getting 90% off our room. If you have 2 kids, you are basically getting your room for free. I haven't priced out FD for the moderate or deluxe resorts, but it may or may not be a good deal.
Paying an extra $18/adult each day to add a table service meal doesn't look really appealing to me, as that's probably the cost of the entree OOP (unless you are doing all character meals), $62.39/adult to add the deluxe plan? It
might be worth it if you are doing all sit down meals and really want to experience Disney food.
Then there is the part of me that wonders if the dining plan price increases are also in response to their popularity among DVC owners... people who go to Disney a lot and are apt to really get the most bang for the buck off a dining plan because Disney is not a one time trip for them. They know how to get the most value from the Dining Plan, and it's eating into Disney's profit margins. Maybe I am just being cynical. It's more likely due to overall vacation market trends like I said above.