Based on current requirements, AP holders who use the AP to enter the parks, will need a park reservation into 2024. Disney did state (and I keep waiting to hear) that there will be 'good to go' days for AP holders where a park reservation is not needed. But until those days, if any, are announced, you should be prepared to get a park reservation to match your family plans. Keep in mind, if you choose to enter parks after 2PM, you won't need at park reservation except for MK on weekends (you probably already know that!). And unless the parks are really full, it's not unusual that you could change your park reservation day-of to match up better, if the weather changes things.
I'm really hoping these 'good to go' days are more the rule than the exception - but I really am not optimistic!