Cases rising or dropping by you?

[DisneyJamieCA]

The opening too quickly is my personal opinion based on my own comfort level. "Everything" could be open and I would still be sticking to the routine I've kept for the past 3 months. Work. Home. Shopping every 2 -3 weeks, as soon as the stores open (at 6am).

I know we can't eliminate the virus. Even with a vaccine the chances of completely eradicating it is not very likely.

I understand. We’re all going to have our own comfort level with things.

 

[jlwhitney]

Florida is trending upward again, yesterday was the largest spike in cases in over a month. My local county, which also had under 100 cases before the restrictions were lessened, is now over 150 cases in under 3 weeks. I am under 2 hours from Disney.

hosptilizations are trending down, and percent positive is still trending down. We are testing more and more here so we are going to find more and more of the mild cases then if we weren’t testing as much.

 

[katie01]

My wife was recently tested (a week ago) because she had symptoms and is in a high risk job. Negative, thankfully but they did the invasive nasal test still.

I'm glad she's ok! The nasal test looks very uncomfortable though!

 

[Jrb1979]

Here in Ontario cases seem to have plateaued for weeks now. We had spikes from Mother's Day and from our May long weekend. We have been testing more but now we are at the point a lot just don't want to get tested.

As far as cases going up IMO that means the virus is still very much around. While we can SLOWLY reopen things, we can't just stop SOCIAL DISTANCING like a lot of you seem to want to do. Its frustrating to see SO MANY OF YOU DOWNPLAY Covid-19.

 

[Kestryl]

My workplace has tested around 1/3 of employees at this point, some of them multiple times (including me). They’ve only found one positive case (who had a runny nose) at the beginning of April. Two other employees did test positive, but they had come back from international travel in March and didn’t come to work so never got tested at work or had a chance to spread it. So three total people out of around 6000 employees, with around 2000 of them tested on site and only one being positive.

My county (just under 500,000 people) has had five deaths, the last one at the end of April. Four of these were people in their 80s/90s. The fifth was a 64-year-old. We’ve had almost 500 cases total.

So I don’t know if our cases are going up, because the numbers themselves were so low to begin with and never truly spiked.

 

[sasywtch]

I only pay attention to the hospitalizations/death counts and not positive counts as the testing here has been a lot more liberal. Even though Sacramento has a relatively low count for the population, it is going up. I hadn't checked in awhile but my DIL who is an RN told me that the hospitalizations were going up. Last week their county which is 1 mile from me had zero in ICU, now it is 4. Sacramento county is going up also in ICU numbers. I agree with a few others. A few weeks ago we were completely shut down and then all of a sudden, the phases ran into each other. Sacramento is home to a lot of casinos which are opening next Monday.

 

[ronandannette]

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/deena-hinshaw-covid-19-alberta-update-june-5-1.5600112We have hugely expanded testing since entering a very conservative Phase 1 of reopening on June 1. We didn't even get that far until it was apparent new cases were steadily declining - reopening had been postponed abruptly on May 15. As of this morning the reports are that 6,455 new tests were processed in the previous 24-hour period and only 7 were positive province-wide.

One thing that bothers me about the reporting is that a good while back they stopped publicly releasing information on where and who the positive cases were. In our province (pop. 4-something million) the vast, vast majority - and I'm talking crazy-disproportionate, of cases have been among elderly people isolated in senior's facilities and workers in meat-processing plants. For reasons I believe to be largely related to PR and yes, politics, that's no longer being discussed. The result, IMO is that activities of very low-risk are still being suppressed, such as access to routine medical and dental care - thousands of empty hospital beds sit in closed wards and GP's are not able to see patients in person. Heck, two kids are still not allowed to kick soccer balls around huge empty fields.

It will be interesting to see what happens in the coming weeks. There was a large (and yes, unlawful under the current constraints) BLM rally downtown on Wednesday with over 2,000 people in close proximity. Testing here is free and available with self-referral. Our mayor is pleading with participants to get tested, if only to provide data on what the IRL risk of large-group gatherings are.

 

[godisney14]

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/edmonton/deena-hinshaw-covid-19-alberta-update-june-5-1.5600112We have hugely expanded testing since entering a very conservative Phase 1 of reopening on June 1. We didn't even get that far until it was apparent new cases were steadily declining - reopening had been postponed abruptly on May 15. As of this morning the reports are that 6,455 new tests were processed in the previous 24-hour period and only 7 were positive province-wide.

One thing that bothers me about the reporting is that a good while back they stopped publicly releasing information on where and who the positive cases were. In our province (pop. 4-something million) the vast, vast majority - and I'm talking crazy-disproportionate, of cases have been among elderly people isolated in senior's facilities and workers in meat-processing plants. For reasons I believe to be largely related to PR and yes, politics, that's no longer being discussed. The result, IMO is that activities of very low-risk are still being suppressed, such as access to routine medical and dental care - thousands of empty hospital beds sit in closed wards and GP's are not able to see patients in person. Heck, two kids are still not allowed to kick soccer balls around huge empty fields.

It will be interesting to see what happens in the coming weeks. There was a large (and yes, unlawful under the current constraints) BLM rally downtown on Wednesday with over 2,000 people in close proximity. Testing here is free and available with self-referral. Our mayor is pleading with participants to get tested, if only to provide data on what the IRL risk of large-group gatherings are.

Those meat-processing plant workers aren’t necessarily keeping to their selves. I’m sure at least some of those people went out in public or met with friends/family bedsides just going back and forth between home and work every single day.

What is IRL?

 

[ronandannette]

Those meat-processing plant workers aren’t necessarily keeping to their selves. I’m sure at least some of those people went out in public or met with friends/family bedsides just going back and forth between home and work every single day.

What is IRL?

In Real Life - meant to imply this is a set of circumstances we can identify and track. In general, cases contracted by casual public contact have been impossible estimate because who really knows where a case might have been contracted? If we see a lot of cases (or none, for that matter) originating amongst people that attended the rally, it will at least provide some general information about casual public contact.

And yes, you're right about the meat-packers. An interesting set of circumstances is that in several small Alberta towns where packing plants are the primary employer, family members of packers will often work as care-aides in the local senior's facilities. It shouldn't have been too hard to connect dots that way but yet no official data has been released, only anecdotal.

 

[bobbiwoz]

Trending down in Cape May County NJ.

 

[DVC-Don]

Trending up here.

 

[dvc at last !]

Down here New York State.

 

[ILoveMyDVC]

To the moon. We’ll see a spike soon from the protests. This should start hitting this weekend and continue through next week.

or from the re-opening of everything and the relaxing of social distancing, It will be hard to tell.

 

[FairestOfThemAll37]

hosptilizations are trending down, and percent positive is still trending down. We are testing more and more here so we are going to find more and more of the mild cases then if we weren’t testing as much.

I feel like this gets glossed over a lot especially with Florida. It seems like the state is being used as an example of how not to do things based on using only one side of the data.

Our testing has ramped up so much. In my area it seems like new testing centers are opening every week. Plus, they’re saying anybody who wants can be tested; you don’t need to be showing symptoms or have had direct contact. Obviously that kind of testing is going to show an uptick in positive cases.

 

[RamblingMad]

or from the re-opening of everything and the relaxing of social distancing, It will be hard to tell.

Yep. It will be all mixed together.

 

[DisneyDebbie]

Forgive me for derailing the thread a bit. I tried to find new info, but I didn’t find it. Has there been a spike from the 2 Covid positive hairstylists?

 

[HeatherC]

Someone just posted on my Facebook page that Florida cases are spiking. Article in Newsweek I guess. Over the last three days cases rising quickly and Friday saw the largest single day increase. Hate to hear this.

 

[DisneyJamieCA]

Forgive me for derailing the thread a bit. I tried to find new info, but I didn’t find it. Has there been a spike from the 2 Covid positive hairstylists?

Not that I’ve seen

 

[jlwhitney]

I feel like this gets glossed over a lot especially with Florida. It seems like the state is being used as an example of how not to do things based on using only one side of the data.

Our testing has ramped up so much. In my area it seems like new testing centers are opening every week. Plus, they’re saying anybody who wants can be tested; you don’t need to be showing symptoms or have had direct contact. Obviously that kind of testing is going to show an uptick in positive cases.

Yes and at the same time areas of Florida are running out of people to test because it has been so readily available. Florida is always viewed as the bad example state and this time they aren't but the media refuses to admit that.

 

[jlwhitney]

Someone just posted on my Facebook page that Florida cases are spiking. Article in Newsweek I guess. Over the last three days cases rising quickly and Friday saw the largest single day increase. Hate to hear this.

A big chunk of it is a lag from private labs reporting results, plus we are testing more and more and our precent positive still is dropping.