Cannot Believe This!

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Under no circumstances is WDW having trouble selling tickets or booking rooms. They do not need AP's to lure people to stay longer or fill vacancy's. That is the entire point, they get nothing out of the AP program other than lost revenue. Every single one of those trips that is canceled by an AP will instantly be filled either by the previous AP owner or someone else and they will make more money in the process.

I think you grossly misunderstand the appeal of WDW around the country and world to assume they need AP's to lure people in. :rotfl2:

It will be sunset and shut down like Magical Express and Disneyland AP's. You have my word on it.
Disneyland is going to have a new AP program by the end of the year. They ha e already announced as much. Why would the revamp another program that they never shut down at all.
 
Do you agree with the premise that they do not need AP's to fill the park every single day? If so, then you answered your own question. They are literally losing money keeping it around. This is a mathematical argument at this point.
The APs are an absolute steal compared to visiting guest tickets-they aren't going away. The bean counters with the actual data know what they are doing. Disneyland already announced passes coming back.
 
Disneyland is going to have a new AP program by the end of the year. They ha e already announced as much. Why would the revamp another program that they never shut down at all.

You realize that new AP program will look absolutely nothing like it did before right?


“… we had sunsetted the Annual Pass Program, and we needed to do that really for two incredibly important reasons. One because of the capacity constraints that I told you about previously and two because we thought this was a great opportunity for us to reimagine an Annual Pass program that wasn’t just built on the last couple of decades but was built on how our Guests and our fans wanted to use the parks going forward.
We’re working on that right now and we’ll clearly be launching something before the end of the year, but I think its gonna be an exciting new program that I think people and our biggest fans and quite honestly our most loyal fans will be very responsive too.” -
Disneyland President Ken Potrock

Its going to be a discount percentage pass for hotels/parking/food etc. probably some fast pass incentives and maybe some vouchers for special magic hour time events. It will probably be worth getting if you go enough, maybe even reward tiers. If you think for a second the "buy a single ticket" and have access for the rest of the year to the parks is coming back I have a bridge in Brooklyn I would very much like you to take a look at to purchase. :rotfl2:
 
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I'd be interested to know the following data about annual passes:

% of annual passes held by those within easy driving distance for day trips - say 1 hr(?)
$ spent per park-visited day broken down by annual pass tier & and that divided by locals vs non-locals
$ spent per park-visited day by dated tix holders
% of hotel occupancy filled by AP vs non AP
% of park capacity (pre-pandemic and now) filled by AP vs non-AP holders

Not being an insider and simply wondering - is a typical AP holder (particularly w/o blackout dates) actually a drain on the system -- creating sold out days / longer lines? (Hear me out - not judging - if I lived within driving distance I'd be doing exactly what I'm describing) Many go to the parks, don't pay for parking (b/c of pass), ride a few rides, maybe each lunch, and then leave? Disney gets an extra $20 for the lunch, maybe. Sure, there are some that come and buy merch each time, do staycations, etc. That's why I'm curious about some of the stats above.

Meanwhile, a family is thinking about coming for 5 days and staying at a resort (maybe even a 500$/night+ deluxe). They see no park availability and don't bother booking. Disney loses $2500+tix*people+F&B+merch(?). How many of the FL annual passes does that offset? Also, if the parks are less crowded and the ~$5000(+) vacationer raves about it to friends vs. "we couldn't get into any parks we wanted and the lines were horrible don't bother" that's a potential issue?

Assuming Disney only cares about $$, I wonder what is in their best interest? I always thought of the APs as local good-will. (Perhaps not the one that costs 4 figures...) I could have it all wrong - I claim to know nothing. (Now there's a claim that no one should dispute.)

Obviously I would have a totally different perspective if I lived in the area and I personally feel that Disney should care about locals as much as the 1xyear or 1x every few year people, (not to mention 1 and dones!) but what does Disney accounting think?

Your questions don’t have simple answers. First, before Covid restrictions, WDW had tiers of closure, when parks are deemed full. And the full closure hasn’t happened in years. So except for the biggest holidays, there hasn’t been a concern for closed parks. And resort guests are allowed into the park at all but the final closure level. So if you are booked at an on-site hotel, you have been able to get in the parks in all but extreme circumstances.

WDW has several different AP options, which serve to limit the number of APs in the park. Those who live close & buy the restricted passes are blocked out of the most popular times. So they’re not the ones filling up the parks Christmas week or on the 4th of July.

The unrestricted pass costs $1167. We live in a western NY & have had these APs for years. Because we have them, we have been making 3 or more trips a year. We stay deluxe resorts & almost always club level (when it was open). We don’t spend all day filling up the parks. We go for a few hours, then return to our hotel to relax. We often do 2 table service meals a day & one of them is almost always a signature place. We don’t worry about doing every ride & staying at the park open til close because we know we’ll be back another day. We don’t hurry thru a quick service meal because we want to get all the rides in. We relax with appetizers, entrees & often desserts & spend a good bit on them. And the 20% gratuities that go along with them.

No, we don’t buy a lot of souvenirs anymore. We get occasional mugs or tshirts. And I have 12, count them 12, Dooney & Bourke purses & my DH has several the Tommy Bahama $150 shirts. These purchases are often made with AP discounts. But I’m pretty sure Disney is still making a good profit on what we buy.

Because we go so often, we have paid for multiple extras, like several behind the scenes tours or lunch with an imagineer. Heck, we even made a special trip down JUST for an after hours event. We wouldn’t have taken most of our trips or done the extras if we didn’t have APs. There are many people on these boards with APs who have the same kinds of stories. I don’t have numbers for what we have spent year over year. I am pretty sure we compare favorably to the “once in a lifetimers“ or guests who come every few years & spend all day on rides, eat breakfast in the room & get a quick service meal once a day, so they can have all the ride time they need.

It takes all kinds of guests to keep spending at WDW. APs aren’t the drag on the resort you seem to think they are.
 
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You realize that new AP program will look absolutely nothing like it did before right?


“… we had sunsetted the Annual Pass Program, and we needed to do that really for two incredibly important reasons. One because of the capacity constraints that I told you about previously and two because we thought this was a great opportunity for us to reimagine an Annual Pass program that wasn’t just built on the last couple of decades but was built on how our Guests and our fans wanted to use the parks going forward.
We’re working on that right now and we’ll clearly be launching something before the end of the year, but I think its gonna be an exciting new program that I think people and our biggest fans and quite honestly our most loyal fans will be very responsive too.” -
Disneyland President Ken Potrock

Its going to be a discount percentage pass for hotels/parking/food etc. probably some fast pass incentives and maybe some vouchers for special magic hour time events. It will probably be worth getting if you go enough, maybe even reward tiers. If you think for a second the "buy a single ticket" and have access for the rest of the year to the parks is coming back I have a bridge in Brooklyn I would very much like you to take a look at to purchase. :rotfl2:
Tell me exactly where you get your info from. They haven't made any of that public so anything you say is pure speculation.
 
Tell me exactly where you get your info from. They haven't made any of that public so anything you say is pure speculation.

You are correct I am just speculating. I am basing my speculation on Mr. Potrock's(awesome name by the way) purposely vague answer. I am also basing my speculation on simple logic.

Once again, ask yourself, do you believe with the AP program completely gone that they will have trouble filling the parks to capacity any night of the year? I believe the answer to that question is no. Hence, it is a loss leader for them and makes no sense to continue. Mr Potrock literally says it if you can read between the lines about a new program "that wasn't just built on the last couple decades", 30 years ago the AP pass made sense. Disney is a monster now(Star Wars, Marvel, Pixar, Fox, and fully fleshed out flower /garden and food/wine events etc). They DO NOT need AP's anymore. Its going away I would bet my life on it, it will be back as a discount pass but the ticket thing is 100% absolutely, unequivocally over. And if I was in that board room I would agree with demolishing it because they are losing buckets of money on it.
 
Its going to be a discount percentage pass for hotels/parking/food etc. probably some fast pass incentives and maybe some vouchers for special magic hour time events. It will probably be worth getting if you go enough, maybe even reward tiers. If you think for a second the "buy a single ticket" and have access for the rest of the year to the parks is coming back I have a bridge in Brooklyn I would very much like you to take a look at to purchase.
Source? Seems like speculation at this point.
I'm not aware of any information released about what the new program will look like.
 
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Once again, ask yourself, do you believe with the AP program completely gone that they will have trouble filling the parks to capacity any night of the year? I believe the answer to that question is no.
I've seen you mention this a couple of times, and I'm a little confused about your argument.

Outside of the current Covid restricted situation, how many days of the year are any of the parks filled to capacity? One or two maybe (I'm thinking New Years and Fourth of July at MK)? What makes you think that Disney will suddenly be filling the parks to capacity 365 days a year without (or even with) AP holders?

Am I just not understanding your point?
 
You are correct I am just speculating. I am basing my speculation on Mr. Potrock's(awesome name by the way) purposely vague answer. I am also basing my speculation on simple logic.

Once again, ask yourself, do you believe with the AP program completely gone that they will have trouble filling the parks to capacity any night of the year? I believe the answer to that question is no. Hence, it is a loss leader for them and makes no sense to continue. Mr Potrock literally says it if you can read between the lines about a new program "that wasn't just built on the last couple decades", 30 years ago the AP pass made sense. Disney is a monster now(Star Wars, Marvel, Pixar, Fox, and fully fleshed out flower /garden and food/wine events etc). They DO NOT need AP's anymore. Its going away I would bet my life on it, it will be back as a discount pass but the ticket thing is 100% absolutely, unequivocally over. And if I was in that board room I would agree with demolishing it because they are losing buckets of money on it.
I think you're confusing and mixing a lot of things. Attendance at Disneyland is VERY different than WDW. Disneyland is very much locals with some out of area. To keep that park full, I think they are going to need to bring back APs in some fashion. You're not going to get locals going multiple times a year buying single tickets.
The majority of those going to WDW are not locals. However, they still have a lot of Florida and DVC guests that use APs.
WDW can only have a minimal Marvel presence due to contracts with Universal. While talking about Disneyland and listing the festivals, they are mainly at WDW.
 
I've seen you mention this a couple of times, and I'm a little confused about your argument.

Outside of the current Covid restricted situation, how many days of the year are any of the parks filled to capacity? One or two maybe (I'm thinking New Years and Fourth of July at MK)? What makes you think that Disney will suddenly be filling the parks to capacity 365 days a year without (or even with) AP holders?

Am I just not understanding your point?

The word 'Capacity' is a misnomer and is actually more a reference to safety/fire regulations. Example being 65% capacity at disney is jam packed. As it relates to my argument, I am talking about saturation. The saturation point, particularly in the resorts. AP's, specifically local AP's do nothing for Disney. They can SATURATE the parks to "Capacity" without them and reap the benefits of more resort guest and ticket prices to boot.
 
The same logic could have been applied to magical express. Why even shut it down? Because they know it won't affect attendance at all to shut it down. Why raise parking fees? ... these are indicators that they do not need to provide any special promotions to fill the parks. AP's is the exact same thing and the natural evolution. I will guarantee you they stop selling them altogether and everyone that has them start the 1 year countdown before they are obsolete.

Do you agree with the premise that they do not need AP's to fill the park every single day? If so, then you answered your own question. They are literally losing money keeping it around. This is a mathematical argument at this point.
The dining plan and AP’s are different than those things mentioned above. AP’s still exist everywhere because it’s easier to retain a pass holder, especially DVC members, than it is to lure a family to buy a 6 day park hopper. Its an immediate injection of funds, and I’m sure their analysts can see the additional revenue each pass holder provides (lodging, food, merch, etc).
*Side note* The Magical Express (pre-Covid) may not be the ultimate deterrent for attendance but it sure was a massive selling point.
 
You are correct I am just speculating. I am basing my speculation on Mr. Potrock's(awesome name by the way) purposely vague answer. I am also basing my speculation on simple logic.

Once again, ask yourself, do you believe with the AP program completely gone that they will have trouble filling the parks to capacity any night of the year? I believe the answer to that question is no. Hence, it is a loss leader for them and makes no sense to continue. Mr Potrock literally says it if you can read between the lines about a new program "that wasn't just built on the last couple decades", 30 years ago the AP pass made sense. Disney is a monster now(Star Wars, Marvel, Pixar, Fox, and fully fleshed out flower /garden and food/wine events etc). They DO NOT need AP's anymore. Its going away I would bet my life on it, it will be back as a discount pass but the ticket thing is 100% absolutely, unequivocally over. And if I was in that board room I would agree with demolishing it because they are losing buckets of money on it.
Prior to Covid how often did DW hit 100% capacity? Christmas and NYE? We were there in March and pretty full and they are 35% capacity ( I think). Are you thinking the demand will be so high after Covid restritions are lifted that the will hit 100% capcity in 4 parks every day?
 
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