Dean
DIS Veteran<br><a href="http://www.wdwinfo.com/dis
- Joined
- Aug 19, 1999
- Messages
- 39,228
My reading of your post was that you were asserting buying VB for $60 per point might be the best AND cheapest long term option. I don't agree with that statement nor do I think that just anyone can call DVC today and get points there are $60 per point, but that's only my opinion.Originally posted by SlyHubby
The point I was raising was specifically that DVC is charging $80/point now for the WDW resorts and $60/point now for VB/HH. That is not an inaccurate "assumption" that is a fact. That is a $20/point difference.
Further, depending on how the fees are structured (if taxes rates are higher for instance at VB/HH), some or all of the difference may be tax deductible.
Your "assumption" that it only takes about 15 years to make up the difference is an inaccurate one - because if you have $4000 in savings today, that is in-pocket savings now. Inflation adjusted, $4000 is more like $8000 in 15 years.
If you are making reservations 6 or 7 months in advance anyway and not utilizing the 11 month window, there is no need to pay the higher price - you have the same ability to get a particular resort as everyone else.
Bottom line, in 39 years they are all worth nothing. Like a car, it is a depreciating asset (once the price/point starts to come down - which it eventually will - and sooner than 15 years from now). As time goes on, I look at it no differently than a car.
I know there was one post about $60 per point but I think that was a special situation. It also assumes you give up your first years points. Using the MB program, the price per point difference buying directly from DVC is $10 per point, not $20. Even if you could get VB for $60 using MB, you'd still need to compare either to the MB at BC making it $75 per point or more likely the value of the first years points, more like $10 per point difference. Besides, if the cost is the main issue and one doesn't care which home resort, resale is the appropriate comparison. Also, the MB for HH is only $10 pp while it's $15 at HH. The rough guideline of 15 years to make up the difference was comparing to the lower fees of OKW but the same arguement could be made for HH I suppose as HH has lower dues. True $4000 in hand would be $8000 later but with the fees difference compared to OKW, you would lose around $300 every year so at some time you'd run out of money, my estimate was around 15 years but it could be more or less depending on many factors.
The other problem is it's getting increasingly more difficult to book at the 7 month window and I think it will be still harder in the future. True some times of years are still easy and in that situation a point is a point. As per depreciation, I'd say it will likely start to show up somewhere around 28-30 years out but will take a slow course early. In the mean time, it's actually going up. My guess is in 15 years DVC resale is worth more than it is today though it may be on the downslope from $100-120 per point retail ($80-100 resale).
Interesting Discussion.