cobright
DIS Veteran
- Joined
- Jan 6, 2013
- Messages
- 2,760
...My normal was hardly ever being in my house. It will be 4 years or more before I can do any of that.
I always wonder where this notion started.but if things are like this for more than a year or 2, at some point it’s time to just accept the risk and move on. I will not spend 4-5 years of my life at home avoiding people because that’s not life. Our society and economy will be shattered and we’ll all be way worse off if we let the virus rule us for that long.
I heard pro-opening political messaging push the idea, in various forms, that since we probably won't have a vaccine ready for common use for years, we should just live normally and let the virus run its course. But that's absolute garbage. It's a message people tell you to get you thinking that we either accept a larger death toll or we run our economy into the ground for years and years. It's a message meant to get you comfortable accepting a higher death toll because the alternative is financial disaster. It's manipulative garbage.
And even though we can clearly see that this is false, people seem eager to believe it.
Other than a few hundred test subjects, no one has a vaccine and no country has achieved anything close to 'herd immunity' levels of cases and yet life in much of Europe and Asia is largely back to normal. No, not normal, but their kids go to school and the adults go to work and to stores and restaurants. New Zealand is now completely restriction free.
The ability to contract the virus (non-immunity?) is nowhere near the largest driver of this disease's transmission. The biggest driver is the prevalence of active cases. When you get the active cases down to near zero, in very short order there simply isn't many people you can catch it from.
With an actual quarantine, a country can arrest the spread of the virus and within a month or two get their daily new cases number down to near nothing. From there, with a strong mandatory test, track, and trace system the country can re-open with minimal restrictions and the fight against the virus becomes one of quelling sporadic little outbreaks. This isn't opinion or conjecture; it's what's happening in the rest of the world right now.
Here's a BBC story from 2 weeks ago. That's a head of state that sleeps easily at night.
