Really long but good info.
Planning for airline strike
Fliers worry, but experts say: Continue as normal
BY JAMES PILCHER | ENQUIRER STAFF WRITER
So what's a passenger to do?
Labor disruptions are possible at both Delta Air Lines and Comair - the two primary airlines at Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky International Airport. And those potential problems could occur around the Easter holiday - and in the middle of spring breaks at many schools.
Delta is trying to get its pilots union to take $300 million in cuts a year, while Comair is fighting in bankruptcy court for $8.9 million worth of concessions annually from its flight attendants union.
Hearings on the Comair case begin Monday in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in New York. The judge overseeing the Erlanger-based airline's restructuring has until April 10 to render a decision, although he could delay that deadline. Friday, the airline's flight attendants gave their union leaders the ability to call a strike if their contract is rejected.
Similarly, the Delta pilots are conducting their own strike authorization vote, with the results due on April 4.
The panel overseeing that case is supposed to decide whether Delta can reject the contract by April 15, the day before Easter Sunday, and the pilots union has said it will strike if its contract is rejected.
Some potential fliers have already decided on a course of action, booking flights on airlines other than Delta, according to several local travel agents and even Delta Air Lines' chief executive officer.
"We are seeing a lot of book-off," said Don Freeland, owner of the Travel Store, a Forest Park-based
travel agency. He says he can't advise people not to fly on Delta, but says travelers do have the option of traveling to one of five airports within a two-hour drive of Cincinnati.
For those who already have tickets on Delta and/or Comair, there is some hope.
Many experts say that if Comair were to go on strike, parent Delta would pull in other regional carriers to replace those routes. And other airlines would probably boost capacity to make up for the loss of Delta seats in case of a pilot strike.
It's not too late to buy
travel insurance against a Delta strike, but the authorization Friday of a strike by the Comair flight attendants makes a possible work action there a known risk and therefore uninsurable by such agencies.
Terry Trippler, an airline expert for the online travel agency CheapSeats.com, said travelers could pay $50 per leg to switch to another airline.
Another option is to hold on to the existing ticket for later use - if either airline survives a work stoppage.
"But let's be totally honest - every seat on every plane on the other airlines could be totally empty and it still wouldn't fill the demand for Delta passengers in Cincinnati," Trippler said. "If there is a Delta strike, there will be a lot of people in Cincinnati who won't get where they were going, and equally so, people trying to get home to Cincinnati are going to have a devil of a time."
WHAT THE AIRLINES SAY
Delta officials said no changes have been planned so far, and passengers should continue as normal.
Even Delta pilot union chairman Lee Moak said that while the union will strike if its contract is rejected, he doesn't expect that to happen.
"What passengers should do in mid-April is to fly Delta Air Lines," said Moak, a Boeing 767 captain, in an interview last week. "I believe reasonable members of senior management will take control of this situation and we will get a settlement."
Delta spokesman Bruce Hicks said no contingency plans are in place, because essentially a full-blown walkout would kill the company. "Our creditors could pull all our debt in 24 hours if we stopped operating," Hicks said.
Comair and its flight attendant union also say booking a trip on the Erlanger-based regional carrier is relatively safe as well. "It's a little early to start worrying about your flight," said Slayback. "We don't want to go on strike, but we will if we are forced to."
Airline spokeswoman Kate Moser said a strike "would devastate our company."
"But we intend to take appropriate operational and legal measures to protect our flights and our customers," she said. "We're preparing for a number of scenarios. ... You can book on Comair with confidence."
She declined comment on specifics, such as whether the airline was considering bringing in replacement workers or using management to keep planes flying. That option is more likely at Comair than at Delta because flight attendants do not need nearly as much training as a pilot to become certified.
WHAT COULD HAPPEN
Mike Boyd, an aviation consultant in Evergreen, Colo., said Delta could bring in other members of its regional network to replace Comair flying.
"Parking Comair would not be a lethal blow to Delta in Cincinnati - they could just bring others in," he said.
Besides Comair, Delta's contracted feeder airlines include Atlantic Southeast Airlines, Comair's former sister regional airline that Delta sold off last fall to another contractor SkyWest; Republic Airways subsidiaries Chautauqua Airlines; and Shuttle America; and Mesa-owned Freedom Airlines.
Boyd said that's what happened with United Airlines in its Washington hub in 2004 when contractor Atlantic Coast Airways decided to morph into a now-defunct low-cost carrier called Independence Air.
"United didn't miss a beat when Atlantic pulled 80 jets right out from under them," he said, noting other contractors filled the void in Washington as Atlantic Coast became a competitor. Independence Air filed bankruptcy last year and ceased operations altogether this year.
Delta chose not to bring in such carriers during the Comair pilot strike of 2001, however, but that was because other pilots said they would not fly Comair's routes - a concept called "struck work."
Freeland expects that other major carriers would add flights and possibly even new destinations to help pick up the slack, but there would be major drop-offs in the number of cities served and number of flights out of Cincinnati/Northern Kentucky. And most airlines have already cut back on capacity; meaning planes are already pretty full. "It's still going to be a tight fit out of Cincinnati, so a Dayton or Louisville could be an option as well," Freeland said.