For the self-selecting consumers on this board and other sites catering to enthusiasts, the boots-on-the-ground focus now is FP+. More specifically, it's FP+ compared to FP-. And the consensus, from all these people looking at it? There ain't one.
Koolaid drinkers like it,
perpetual whiners hate it, and stereotypes thrive.
This group perspective is formed over a relatively short period of time that includes the worry about what is to come, staggered in-park implementation that saw expired library cards used to secure legacy FPs on top of pre-books, and staggered pre-booking that isn't even implemented for over half of the guests.
Sure there are takeaways that point to some problems that need to be fixed. The law of unintended consequences applies, but so does the law of intended ones. You can extrapolate today's perceived problems when considering what happens when this goes fully live for all guests, but math only gets you so far. Your behavioral sciences better be as strong (stronger?).
But from 30,000 feet, what do we see? Hell, assuming we could see, what are we supposed to see at this point, and what would that tell us about this radical reform fits in with our overall strategy moving forward? New "lands" will get us more people, but is that a long term strategy? Can we connect today like we connected yesterday? Were we even effective yesterday, or were we underperforming and running on momentum and legacy?
Data. Without it, you're blind. And even with it, applying the wrong analysis and drawing the wrong conclusions makes you (not
you - in this case, Disney) worse than blind.
I don't know what Disney's data analysis said about the viability and sustainability of it's then-current model, nor what it has identified as trends moving forward. I look at the direction that I
think they're moving, see if it makes sense with what is happening in other sectors (like productivity), and then assume what their models tell them.
From what I see, I don't think Disney thinks physical expansion at WDW makes sense without laying some technological foundation to deal with increased demand (why else would you expand?). Step 1, to my mind, is better manage current capacity. FP+ and
MDE does that, in theory. This is ugly on the ground for some now, pleasant for others. But it is necessary to have a scalable platform to support whatever new attractions you want to add in the future.
The problem here on DisBoards is that we're trying to reduce white paper material to easily digestible products to be consumed by people of varying degrees of interest, in a manner that does not allow for a real-time back-n-forth that face-to-face conversation would allow.