There are way too many factors to make a statement like that. We plan to stay 9-10 nights and it still didn't make sense for us to purchase AP's. Not even close. Here's why:
- We don't normally park hop so we can purchase base tickets
- We stay onsite so the free parking is of no benefit
- We don't purchase memory maker anymore, so that is something we wouldn't have purchased
- We spend, maybe, $100 in merchandise during our stay so that AP discount is minimal.
- OOP, we can spend around $1800 in food, but there is no guarantee that the 20% AP discount will continue into next year. At 10%, at we are only saving $180 in food, and at best $360 for a 20% discount.
A 9 night stay for our family of five at POR, with 9 day park tickets is $4502. That assumes that I will get a 10% room discount, the bare minimum general public discount.
Platinum Annual passes alone are $4148, and doesn't include any lodging, which in our case is another $2200 or so.
So no, there is no way the numbers work for us. Now, if we made two decent length stays in one year, then yeah, we would come out ahead.
So, there are too many scenarios for blanket statements
Dan