Maybe you can talk me through this so I understand your math a little better.
Based on what you've shared on these boards, these are your only contracts. Ignoring the HHI contract for moment (which is a whole other ball of wax). On the AKV contract, you have no points until 2022. So you've stayed zero days on your points. You have a March UY so you technically won't even be able to book anything with your full points for another five weeks or so. You've paid $18,100 dollars today, and you have committed to paying Disney dues on those points every year for the next 35 years regardless of where life may take you.
In December this year, you'll be hit with an additional $1,500 in dues. All told, on the AKV contract alone, you'll have put out about $20,000.00 on something you haven't stayed on. After your first one week stay over a year from now, you will have paid about $2,800.00/night. After your second week in 2023, you will have paid $1,500/night. And so on and so on.
I'm not using this calculation to be obtuse. Having bought into the Disney's timeshare system myself, I understand the long term savings I
may realize vs. paying cash. But each of us does so at the assumption of a lot of risk; risk that Disney is all too happy to hand off to every last Disney timeshare owner.
While I don't subscribe to havoc315's austere qualifications for savings, his bigger point should not be lost in the back and forth over bread and semantics. And that is that Disney's timeshare first and foremost benefits Disney. As a PP stated, "the house always wins" is apt. For most of us, it will be more symbiotic in that we benefit from staying there more often which we all all apparently value by virtue of owning a Disney timeshare. Or we'll stay in nicer accommodations than we normally stay in. That is also a benefit.
But in terms of dollars and savings, we
potentially save because we buy in bulk today. Until we consume the bulk of those points, our savings are only potential. And in the interim, we assume significant risk in exchange.
There is risk that we no longer enjoy Disney in 12 years. There is the risk we face catastrophic life changes in 3 months. There is risk Disney changes the park going experience to focus on content delivery which better serves the bottom line. There is risk Disney changes its timeshare product to a point where it no longer resembles what we bought into.
Regardless of whether or not any or all of these things happen, you are on the hook to pay dues for the life of your contract. That may eventually mean selling your contract, but until you actually do your timeshare remains a financial liability.
The reason some of us on these boards assume the buzzkill role and hammer home the risk elements is in part to balance the optimistic, sometimes Mickey Math justifications for buying a Disney timeshare. If all the "savings" of owning
DVC is necessary to make buying make sense, make sure assumption of all the risks makes sense as well.