All of US Could Be Overweight by 2048 :(

ultramickeymouse

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Here is a scary story I saw on the news. I don't plan to be one but I might not be alive in 40 years either;) If everyone here keeps up the good work, we will not be there either:thumbsup2

NEW YORK (Aug. 7) - If the trends of the past three decades continue, it's possible that every American adult could be overweight 40 years from now, a government-funded study projects. The figure might sound alarming, or impossible, but researchers say that even if the actual rate never reaches the 100-percent mark, any upward movement is worrying; two-thirds of the population is already overweight.

"Genetically and physiologically, it should be impossible" for all U.S. adults to become overweight, said Dr. Lan Liang of the federal government's Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality, one of the researchers on the study. However, she told Reuters Health, the data suggest that if the trends of the past 30 years persist, "that is the direction we're going." Already, she and her colleagues point out, some groups of U.S. adults have extremely high rates of overweight and obesity; among African- American women, for instance, 78 percent are currently overweight or obese. The new projections, published in the journal Obesity, are based on government survey data collected between the 1970s and 2004.

If the trends of those years continue, the researchers estimate that 86 percent of American adults will be overweight by 2030, with an obesity rate of 51 percent. By 2048, all U.S. adults could be at least mildly overweight. Weight problems will be most acute among African-Americans and Mexican- Americans, the study projects. All black women could be overweight by 2034, according to the researchers, as could more than 90 percent of Mexican-American men. All of this rests on the "big assumption" that the trends of recent decades will march on unabated, Liang acknowledged. "This is really intended as a wake-up call to show what could happen if nothing changes," she said.

Waistlines aren't the only thing poised to balloon in the future, according to Liang and her colleagues. They estimate that the healthcare costs directly related to excess pounds will double each decade, reaching $957 billion in 2030 -- accounting for one of every six healthcare dollars spent in the U.S. Those financial projections are based on Census data and published estimates of the current healthcare costs attributed to excess weight -- and they are probably a "huge underestimate" of what the actual costs will be, Liang said. The findings highlight a need for widespread efforts to improve Americans' lifestyles and keep their weight in check, according to the researchers. Simply telling people to eat less and exercise more is not enough, Liang noted. Broader social changes are needed as well, she said -- such as making communities more pedestrian-friendly so that people can walk regularly, or getting the food industry to offer healthier, calorie-conscious choices. "It really needs to be more than an individual effort," Liang said. "It needs to be a societal effort."
 
WOW!

More bike lanes would help too!
This would help many things, including:
using less gas, weight issues, depression, ect...ect...

I know in Charlotte, everyone is talking about these issues, and encouraging people to walk or ride their bike to work...but at this point it is really unsafe for most people...trust me, I ride my bike to work sometimes and it is not easy b/c of cars and lack of bike lanes.

OK....Off my soapbox!
 
I have a feeling that eventually the same health reversal will happen with eating as happened with smoking. It was acceptable and normal for most people to smoke at one point. As the negative health issues became more and more publicized the stigma of smoking became more and more negative. Eventually that stigma and the obvious signs of poor health that were related started to sway the smoking trend and now (at least in the US) smoking is much much less prevalent.

I can see a scenario like this eventually happening with overeating. With the weight of my generation (I’m 30) we are going to start to see a lot more heart related deaths at relatively young ages. Because we always need something to blame it will become the diet. There could be social pressures not only because of the visible trends in deaths but also the related healthcare costs. Like smoking, being overweight increases healthcare costs and in the end money talks and there will hopefully be an awakening.

This is probably something I would need a couple of pages to fully explain my reasoning but I don’t feel like writing it and I guarantee no one else wants to read it.

I want to make clear also that this is not a judgment on smokers or people who are overweight. They are merely observations on health trends.
 
Grass roots movements like WISH and DisneyRunning are at the front line of that battle and it's a fight we must continue. If we give up and say what ever will be will be then yes a desaster like that is possible.

Walking Panda:hippie:
 

Robert

Bless you for this, and your comments. Since I was born in 1956, I would be 92 in 2048. I suspect if I'm alive at that time, my weight won't be on my top 10 list of problems :rolleyes: .

Craig
 
Wow; scary story. But I first read your headline as the word "us" (just in all caps for emphasis) rather than U.S. (as in U.S.A.) and was ready for some "fightin' words"! How dare you say we WISHers will start gaining weight? ;)

I agree with the Panda that grass roots movements like ours are our best chance. I've been preaching the Couch to 5K gospel to loads of co-workers lately and hope some of them will join me on this quest for a healthier lifestyle. But it's difficult when those of us trying to make good choices are in the minority.

I just hope these news reports don't make people even less motivated. If obesity is judged to be "inevitable," how many will feel the need to try and fight it?

My kids are thankfully very active -- and gaining weight seems to be a struggle for my 5-yo DS right now -- which leads me to fear that they will be subject to teasing if trends continue. If every child is overweight, will they start picking on the "skinny kid" in class?
 
My kids are thankfully very active -- and gaining weight seems to be a struggle for my 5-yo DS right now -- which leads me to fear that they will be subject to teasing if trends continue. If every child is overweight, will they start picking on the "skinny kid" in class?

Don't worry, your kids will be able run alot faster and longer and will be able to get away from any other "fat" kids out there. Also they won't have to worry about injecting for diabetes, pills for their heart disease, high colesterol and high blood pressure. !!!
 
Robert

Bless you for this, and your comments. Since I was born in 1956, I would be 92 in 2048. I suspect if I'm alive at that time, my weight won't be on my top 10 list of problems :rolleyes: .

Craig

:lmao: :lmao: :lmao: At a 103 that goes for ME TOO- but if still on earth I do hope to still be walking!

Seriously I am careful about my little Hagen's diet - wish his parents were more conscious of the choices they make for him too.
 
it's a frustrating issue that I see everyday at work. I see roughly 15 to 20 patients daily and at least 5 daily will tell me that they just can't seem to lose weight. When I ask about diet, I am always told that the patient doesn't eat that much. Great, but when I ask if they keep track, most folks have no idea how many calories they're getting. And when I ask about exercise, most of the time people tell me they're 'active'. Okay, great, but if you're not losing weight then your body is telling you that you're doing too much of one and not enough of the other. At this point most people look at me like I'm crazy. It is one of the most frustrating conversations I have, both on my side and the patient's.

Current research says for premenopausal women 1200 to 1500 calories daily for weight loss, < 1200 daily after menopause. Exercise breaks out at 275 to 300 min weekly to lose or maintain weight loss. That's a lot more than the 30 min 3x weekly that the media was selling a few years ago (that was for heart health, not weight loss). When I tell people that 30 min stroll with their Yorkie is likely only burning the equivalent of 2 Oreo cookies, again, they look at me like I'm crazy.

I also believe serving sizes can be very very misleading. You really have to read labels carefully to catch some of the serving sizes. My favorite example is the Aunt Selma's cookies you see in the candy shop on Main Street at WDW. Depending on the cookie, the serving size may be 1/4 cookie or 1/2 cookie. Calories per serving run from 150 to 200+. Not to pick on Aunt Selma, but I believe companies do this because the consumer would be less likely to buy a cookie knowing that it's going to cost them 600 to 1000 calories of their daily food budget.

Trying to lose weight sucks. Truly. Most people that I see want to weigh whatever they want while eating whatever they want. For most of us, it doesn't work that way. For me personally, I have to really, tightly control my calories to lose weight. Some days it gets really old having to pay minute attention to each food I choose, but I know I'll pay for it on the scale (and I have!) if I don't.

Connie (Steffwalks) has one of the best quotes out there, "Food is fuel, not friends." The grassroots movement begins with us. Spread the word to your friends and family to read labels and be savvy consumers. Check out what you eat, especially restaurant food (check out the uber-'healthy' Panera menu for some eye-opening calorie counts on their sandwiches http://www.panerabread.com/menu/). I recently found out my favorite Panera sandwich has over 800 calories...that's more than almost everything on the McDonalds menu! Arby's is pretty deadly too http://www.arbys.com.

Okay, jumping off soapbox.
 
Shucks, thanks for noticing my quote, Chimera!

I love that quote! I think that computer models are pretty worthless in the "real" scheme of life, so I don't give that one much credit, either. That being said, things have come together in a perfect storm. We no longer teach nutrition in the public schools and when it was stopped, an entire generation was fed on fast food and junk. We took out physical education and then games that teach agility, balance and other necessary skills because some children would feel inferior. Then an impossible to follow and wholly inadequate and incorrect tool was invented which helped to make people heavier, the food guide pyramid. Spawning a plethora of diet books suggesting that there are good foods and bad foods and off-limit foods and .... The media creates the perfect where no perfection actually exists..... And we play games that isolate us. We talk to each other using a screen and so many live their lives seeing nothing but the screen.....We work in cubicles, for pete's sake!

Maybe it's time WE took back our schools and our homes and our workplaces to be people freindlly!!! People need friends, not food!!!!

ahem...moving right along.....
 














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