Thanks for replies. I get people are checking out every day but still seems strange that only current day (11 mo to the day) is full multiple days of checking. Bill, some folks just enjoy the convenience and atmosphere of club lounge, and it's appealing to them. No reason to question why that would be important to someone. Different strokes...
Though I am not savvy at math and statistics, a friend who is explained to me that what you are seeing with 11 month reservations, where one day fills but others thereafter remain open, is actually what is more probable to occur than not, given the variables -- that there are a limited number of rooms, demand is high, members can and do book from 1 to 7 nights at 11 months out thus providing varying check-out dates, and the information you get online tells you only that either all rooms are full or that one is open. In fact, what you are seeing is actually something that commonly occurs for other rooms at 11 months out such as AKV value rooms and, particularly at times during the high demand last quarter of the year, BWV standard and boardwalk view studios, VGF studios, and BLT standard view rooms. Moreover, the same phenomenon often occurs at 7 months out for VGC studios, where one day fills extremely fast at 8 a.m. at 7 months out while days thereafter are still left open. It has actually been occurring lately at 7 months out for CCV rooms -- studios and 2BRs have filled on a daily basis right at 8 a.m. for Jan 1 to 6.
Those CL rooms would be the only reason I would want to buy in there. But if it's that difficult to get a CL room at even 11 months out, that would be a serious let down.
The club level studios (and thus also the 2BRs since all 2BRs are lock-offs) fill either before 11 months out or within moments after 8 a.m. at 11 months out, a little more than 80% of the calendar year, and for the period from late Sep to marathon weekend in Jan,
DVC's high demand time of the year, it is close to 100% of the time.The 1BRs often remain open a little longer although even those can disappear right at or before 8 a.m. at 11 months out for about 60% of the time during the high demand season and 25% of the time during the rest of the year.
You should be aware that the value rooms have the same problem although not quite as severe. One should not buy AKV under the belief that you can usually get value or club level rooms at 11 months out.