So based on your signature it appears you are trying to take 2 family (6 tickets per trip) per year. The likelihood of getting 6 saver awards (25K*2) on one flight is nearly impossible. Let's say you are really lucky and are able to get two saver and 4 anytime awards (50K*4) for your family. That means (if you are lucky) you would need 250K per trip.
Now assume those tickets could have been purchased for $300 per person which would be $1800, but since you spent all your points on tickets you are now stuck with paying for your hotel. Let's assume you decide to stay at the Pop Century in WDW which average $200 per night with taxes (which is similar in price to the Swan/Dolphin pricing) and you stay for 5 nights. You are a large family so you need two rooms (2 rooms * $200 * 5 nights) which totals $2000.
Now let's say you instead of taking that money for flights you put it towards hotels first. SPG charges 10K per night at the Swan/Dolphin but gives you the 5th night free. So you would $2,000 worth of hotel for 80K in points. Now others are going to get up in arms and say "BUT NO FREE MAGICAL EXPRESS!" okay so you buy one saver award at 25K and take that $300 and use it for parking and renting a minivan.
So based on this scenario you could "spend"
105K points + $1,800 and still have 170K left. You would also be in a Deluxe hotel and have a rental car for a trip maybe to USO/IOA(don't forget since you would be paying for 5 flights you would also be earning points and you aren't restricted by the narrow flight choices for awards.)
or
250K points + $2,000 and have no points left.
The choice seems obvious to me.
I don't really understand the whole saver plus award system because I don't fly United. I'm assuming it's the cheapest level to fly free. But I'm not understanding your costing here.
OP: Keep in mind that flight rewards depend a lot on what city you are in. United and AA miles mean pretty much nothing to me because they don't route well through Detroit airport. Living where I am, pretty much Delta and Spirit are my only choices and Delta has way more flight time options that work better for me. So while United and AA have better reward systems, they're not better FOR ME. So I deal with delta's crappy SkyMiles.
One thing you pointed out in your costing is the price of rooms at Pop Century. You quoted it at $200 per room. It actually ranges from $82 to $!64 per night and seems to average about the $100 - $120 level. A far cry from the $200 a night used in your calculations above.
Also, correct me if I'm wrong...but I'm pretty sure if you pay with points, there's no way you'll get the 5th night for free. So it will cost you the full 100K points to stay at the S&D.
I agree with Prcess that you should do the math for your unique situation - that way you will see where it is better to spend your points. Without a doubt though..with the kind of business spending you are doing, GET A POINTS CREDIT CARD AND EARN THOSE POINTS!!!!
Free is free
