JimmyV
Por favor manténganse alejado de las puertas.
- Joined
- Jun 4, 2008
- Messages
- 8,060
We will learn the answer to that question very soon after the Mine Train opens and becomes "bookable". Every person here who has the opportunity will book 60 days out. With the unlimited ability to make changes right up to the last moment, there is absolutely no downside to booking at the 60 day mark and a possible downside for not doing so. The "if you can't beat 'em, join 'em" attitude will prevail. If, as the "Math"" thread suggests, there are only 9,000-12,000 FP+ available on any given day for certain headliners, and the parks see crowds of 40,000-70,000 on crowded days, then only 20%-30% of guests are going to get FPs for the major rides on busy days. And if you consider that 11:00 a.m.-5:00 p.m. are being looked upon as the "prime times" to lock in your FPs, even that 20%-30% are going to be fighting for those prime slots, lest they get a 9:00 a.m. return time that they don't really want.I'm very curious what percentage of people are booking at 60+ days. Of course, as more people hear that they should book early, that number will keep growing. Obviously, the word got out far beyond the disboards that it was necessary to arrive early at DHS and head straight to TSMM, so I assume we'll see the same thing at 60 days, only people will book all their FP+ while they're securing their TSMM and Mine Train.
Once upon a time it was unthinkable that people would set their alarms 180 days out to make ADRs. And then they did. And it was unthinkable that people would start lining up at 7:15-7:45 for an 8:00 opening at DHS. And then thousands did. If TSM FP- could be wiped out by 10:30 on a given day by people who are actually in the parks, imagine how fast the FP+s will be wiped out for the mine train (or TSM) by people who can snag them remotely. And consider that according to Disney, FP- was being used by fewer than half of the park guests and now it is being used by 90%. So the number of people "lining up" in front of their computer screens at the 60 day mark will be even greater than the number of people who queued up for TSM FPs at the actual machines. It may take a while for all of this to come to fruition, but it will.
Although, I believe, the original FP was the +. 