so this is assuming that in any given hour, 50% of the rides capacity is issued to fp? that makes sense, that in an hour sb would load 1 per second, on the average. Then by this logic, if fp was eliminated, all lines would move twice as fast. I think I may be becoming a fan of eliminating fp all together.
Disney doesn't disclose such information but I've been lead to believe FastPass rider percents can exceed 80% on the busiest days. Really, Disney can hand out as many FPs as the attraction will allow. Standby times will balloon accordingly and guests can decide whether they wish to wait in those lines or not.
Not exactly. The attraction still has the same capacity. The line cannot move faster than the capacity allows, Fastpass or not.
If you eliminate Fastpass, then that capacity is fully dedicated to the single formerly standby line, and it moves faster...but it is also longer because the people who had Fastpass before need to be in the standby line to ride as well.
Standby lines being longer without FP isn't necessarily true.
Consider a park with just two attractions: Buzz and Space Mountain for simplicity sake. Under the current system, I get a FP for Buzz and wait Standby for SM. That grants me almost immediate access to Buzz but my standby wait for SM is considerable because all of the people with FastPasses for SM are essentially bypassing me in line.
Now eliminate FP. What happens? Every guest in the park can choose to only be in ONE of the TWO attraction queues at a time. In my case, perhaps I still choose Space Mountain first. But my wait time is much shorter because there are no FP holders to get ahead of me in line.
In both examples, the standby lines are about the same length because guests can only be in one at a time. With FP, you're waiting a long time for one attraction and a short time for the other. Without FP, wait time is pretty much evenly balanced between the two.
It would take a computer model to really understand the impact of FastPass on an entire theme park. But my understanding suggests that the primary benefits of FP are:
1) Psychological. Instead of waiting in a long Standby queue, I'm free to browse the park, it shops or eat a meal.
2) Economic...for Disney. Same as above, instead of having me trapped in a queue where I can't do anything but look at the guy in front of me, I'm free to spend money elsewhere in the parks.
Depending on how efficiently some guests use FP, there could be some time savings along the way. However, without FP all of the standby waits would be much shorter and guests would avoid the current need to run around grabbing FP tickets & structure their day around those uncertain return times.