i think this is awful 2 different associations for the same resort.....my guess is your going to have a bunch of points come online for cabins that no one can really afford so same thing with poly more people going at the 7th month window for 1 bed rooms and 2 bedrooms.....they are just going to add stress to that resorts bus and boat system and dining......not a fan its unoriginal and lazy........
Most of the rooms will be converted hotel rooms so no added guest traffic there. The only new accommodations are the cabins, which will add some traffic to the resort but not a tremendous amount. Wilderness Lodge is one of the smallest Disney Deluxe properties so transportation systems can be expanded.
It is going to be weird. I assume the point requirements will be similar to the last few DVC resorts. The new section of VWL will cost twice as much points per night to stay while share the resort facilitates with thr older section.
I doubt rooms will cost twice as many points in VWL II as VWL I. If you compare VWL Studios to Poly Standard View, here's how the nightly weekday costs stack up for each season:
VWL: 15 / 15 / 16 / 17 / 24
PVB: 16 / 18 / 21 / 23 / 31
Not even close to twice the cost and Poly will certainly be priced higher than VWL II due to the large rooms, monorail access and Seven Seas Lagoon location.
It's entirely possible that VWL II point costs will be identical to VWL I.
I totally see your point, but I would personally much rather extend at $15/pt than have the whole contract go to turf in 25 years and be forced to pay upwards of $200/pt for a new contract if we want to continue owning there, and I would think that I am not alone in that. I realize that it would depend on everyone's individual needs and intentions for their existing VWL contracts (leave it to kids, etc.).
You'd have to take a look at the exact dollars and compute present value.
Owners who choose NOT to extend could instead place those monies in an interest-bearing investment account. By the time the shorter contract ends, you would have a much greater sum of money available to purchase a short-term resale or simply pay cash for Disney trips.
Back when the Old Key West extension was offered, folks calculated that the present value of the extension was around $8 per point taking time value of money into consideration. DVC was asking $15 per point. Not much of a bargain.
The OKW extension was offered about 34 years before needed--2008 if memory serves. Invest the $15 per point at just 4% annual return and by 2042 you'd have $55 per point. Seems very reasonable to think that by 2042, you could buy a DVC resale with just 15 years remaining for less than $55 per point? Right now, people are asking about $75 per point for a resale with 27 years remaining.
Meanwhile, owners who extended and later had to sell their OKW ownership are finding they can't even get the $15 back in the form of higher value, much less any interest on that payment. Contracts ending in 2057 are not going for $15 per point more than '42 contracts.
. Good move 
