Where do you think DVC resale prices are headed?

[EM Lawrence]

All of you are way more optimistic on the economy and DVC sales over the next few years than I am! The pool of buyers who want to add on or were waiting for sales to reopen is going to burn itself out pretty quickly. Then DVC is going to need to rely on foot traffic in the parks to make sales. I don’t think that foot traffic is going to recover to pre-Covid levels for several years. Of course, I could be totally wrong. I’m generally an optimistic person, but in this case, I am a pessimist.

 

[dvc lover 1970]

All of you are way more optimistic on the economy and DVC sales over the next few years than I am! The pool of buyers who want to add on or were waiting for sales to reopen is going to burn itself out pretty quickly. Then DVC is going to need to rely on foot traffic in the parks to make sales. I don’t think that foot traffic is going to recover to pre-Covid levels for several years. Of course, I could be totally wrong. I’m generally an optimistic person, but in this case, I am a pessimist.

I tend to agree. if we had not vested so much in Disney over the years, I would not be going anytime in the near future - meaning the next couple years, but - I have points to use so we of course we be going

 

[bookwormde]

8/25 update

number of newly posted resale contracts at about 220% of average

 

[bookwormde]

compared to last week

DVC resale 263 down 3

Fidelity 134 down 2

TSS 146 down 14

 

[gisele2]

For those hunting for small AKV contracts, go see the listing of the sponsor .

 

[Ruttangel]

For those hunting for small AKV contracts, go see the listing of the sponsor .

Just saw that 50pt for $105, won’t be there long

 

[becauseimnew]

For those hunting for small AKV contracts, go see the listing of the sponsor .

Just saw that 50pt for $105, won’t be there long

man... I totally missed that for $105, where was it listed?

 

[Ruttangel]

man... I totally missed that for $105, where was it listed?

On the email DVC store said it was $105 but when I just followed link it was $128

 

[bookwormde]

8/26 update

number of newly posted resale contracts at about 180% of average

 

[Starport Seven-Five]

On the email DVC store said it was $105 but when I just followed link it was $128

Text I received was $128 as well.

Dvcresalemarket dropped a whopper yesterday

 

[becauseimnew]

Text I received was $128 as well.

Dvcresalemarket dropped a whopper yesterday
View attachment 522041

At least it doesn’t say only full offer will be accepted.

 

[ABE4DISNEY]

Text I received was $128 as well.

Dvcresalemarket dropped a whopper yesterday
View attachment 522041

Here are a couple more that make me go

9OK252W	Old Key West	60	$140	Feb	60 points coming Feb 1, 2021 + 60 for 2022, Extended to 2057!	$8,400	More info
9OK253W	Old Key West	70	$140	Feb	82 points coming Feb 1, 2021 (70 + 12 banked) + 70 for 2022, Extended to 2057!	$9,800	More info

 

[Prince John Robin Hood]

Fidelity has an AKV contract listed under $100. Hoping that there will be more to follow under $100 for AKV in the coming weeks and months.

 

[davidl81]

Here are a couple more that make me go

9OK252W	Old Key West	60	$140	Feb	60 points coming Feb 1, 2021 + 60 for 2022, Extended to 2057!	$8,400	More info
9OK253W	Old Key West	70	$140	Feb	82 points coming Feb 1, 2021 (70 + 12 banked) + 70 for 2022, Extended to 2057!	$9,800	More info

Sure they seem high, but someone will buy them pretty quickly. Small extended OKW contracts are super rare and this still saves $25 a point over buying direct (so $1500 on the 60 point contract). When you have something as rare as an extended small point OKW contract you ask for a high price.

 

[sethschroeder]

Sure they seem high, but someone will buy them pretty quickly. Small extended OKW contracts are super rare and this still saves $25 a point over buying direct (so $1500 on the 60 point contract). When you have something as rare as an extended small point OKW contract you ask for a high price.

I mean you can get a 100 point contract likely for the same price though. I guess someone might pay more to not have the extra points though.

 

[davidl81]

I mean you can get a 100 point contract likely for the same price though. I guess someone might pay more to not have the extra points though.

That is a somewhat fair point, although a 100 point OKW extend contract would very likely be still over $100 per point. Heck a 2042 100 point contract is over $100 a point (which is insane to me BTW).

 

[sethschroeder]

That is a somewhat fair point, although a 100 point OKW extend contract would very likely be still over $100 per point. Heck a 2042 100 point contract is over $100 a point (which is insane to me BTW).

I have randomly come across some for like $103-$107 area at like 125-175 pints. If I was targeting an extend contract for 100 points I likely would target $97 or 150 points would target $95 area.

Haven't looked much though. I would honestly likely just buy direct if the point difference was $20-$30. Might not be a ton of value right now but long term I would have options from 2042-2057 to stay in the Epcot area which I otherwise would not have.

 

[davidl81]

I have randomly come across some for like $103-$107 area at like 125-175 pints. If I was targeting an extend contract for 100 points I likely would target $97 or 150 points would target $95 area.

Haven't looked much though. I would honestly likely just buy direct if the point difference was $20-$30. Might not be a ton of value right now but long term I would have options from 2042-2057 to stay in the Epcot area which I otherwise would not have.

I agree and at 140 a point I would also just buy direct so I could use them at DVC2 resorts. But I would bet those contracts don't stay acive long, and maybe they will take less than $140, but it won't be that much less. (Looks like non extended contracts in that point range are listing for about $115 in average, so I think a "fair" price would be 125-130ish).

 

[sethschroeder]

Sorry completely new to this didn’t even realize I had to format it in a certain way. Is this what you mean:

sgserenity---$93.75-$15613.60-160-AKV-Dec-0/18, 123/19, 320/20, 160/21- sent 7/18, passed 8/25

Case and point that Disney is not doing ROFR like normal.

From the ROFR thread

Only been 2 contracts that low in the ROFR threads in the last year to pass prior to COVID19

 

[bookwormde]

8/27 update

number of newly posted resale contracts at about 300% of average