Where do you think DVC resale prices are headed?

[kevtlas]

I'm warming up to the idea of buying a SSR contract for SAP lol We also dont hate SSR either and the points are dirt cheap.

We've owned there since 2009 and finally stayed there for the first time over Christmas 2018 lol.

 

[TinkB278]

Seems like any AKL contracts being posted are being bought immediately. The prices listed don’t seem any lower than they were pre-COVID-19:

 

[ChipNdale8887]

Seems like any AKL contracts being posted are being bought immediately. The prices listed don’t seem any lower than they were pre-COVID-19:

Smaller AKL contracts get bought up very quickly it seems. Especially if ur looking for a certain month. I"ve looked for AKV with a june use year for 3 months and ones under 150 points sell within days. I think AKV is pretty undervalued honestly. If you can get it for 95-105 I think thats a great price even now. in March they were selling for 110-120.

 

[BWV Dreamin]

I’m a VGF fan and looking at finally buying a contract there. Based on what I can find, it seems the lowest resale price has been about $120? Does anyone know of a lower price in the past?

When was that price listed? And for how many points? Put a bid in for a 90 point VGF resale for $140/pt. It was declined.

 

[Cowgirl_Jessie]

When was that price listed? And for how many points? Put a bid in for a 90 point VGF resale for $140/pt. It was declined.

That’s interesting. I feel like your price is reasonable. For the seller, I don’t see market pricing going up. I wonder if the market is still that strong or the seller has nor reconciled to what at least seems like it should be a softer market.

 

[pirate33]

When was that price listed? And for how many points? Put a bid in for a 90 point VGF resale for $140/pt. It was declined.

This not recent—around 2016 I think. I was talking about historical lows. I don’t recall the number of points. I was researching generally for the historical lows but I probably wasn’t looking at a contract of <100 points. Those are never on my radar.

 

[MICKIMINI]

I saw an OCT UY OKW today - perhaps it's been listed for awhile? It has 0 points for 2020, 2 points for 2021, 220 for 2022. Absolutely stripped not to mention you would only be able to borrow 50% or 110 in October 2021! If that isn't bad enough, it can't close UNTIL 1/24/21! They want $89 PP and closing costs. Of course, there is a credit for those 2021 points. I don't think it is worth more than $55-$60 PP and the seller pays closing.

Apparently they are not in a hurry to sell?

 

[macman123]

Ive just paid $142pp for 200 points at BLT, March UY. 400 for 2020 (200 banked) and 200 for 2021. Decent deal?!

 

[Cyberc1978]

When was that price listed? And for how many points? Put a bid in for a 90 point VGF resale for $140/pt. It was declined.

Just bought a 125 VGF contract at $145 with sellers paying closing. Points 2019 and onwards are available.

 

[RoseGold]

Ive just paid $142pp for 200 points at BLT, March UY. 400 for 2020 (200 banked) and 200 for 2021. Decent deal?!

There's listings on the market cheaper than that right now on multiple resellers.

 

[EM Lawrence]

I saw an OCT UY OKW today - perhaps it's been listed for awhile? It has 0 points for 2020, 2 points for 2021, 220 for 2022. Absolutely stripped not to mention you would only be able to borrow 50% or 110 in October 2021! If that isn't bad enough, it can't close UNTIL 1/24/21! They want $89 PP and closing costs. Of course, there is a credit for those 2021 points. I don't think it is worth more than $55-$60 PP and the seller pays closing.

Apparently they are not in a hurry to sell?

One broker has many of this type of listing. The contracts are stripped until 2022, can’t close until Oct-JAN!!! and they want current prices. Who would agree to that?? Prices will likely be much lower by the time those contracts close.

 

[macman123]

There's listings on the market cheaper than that right now on multiple resellers.

For a 0 / 400 / 200 contract? Where may I ask? I look at all of the brokers........

 

[CastAStone]

Ive just paid $142pp for 200 points at BLT, March UY. 400 for 2020 (200 banked) and 200 for 2021. Decent deal?!

People on the ROFR thread have been paying between $130 and $140 for BLT, including some double points contracts, with those generally (but not always) closer to that $140.

If you are happy with $142 and it’s exactly what you want, why sweat after it’s too late as to whether you overpaid? It’s maybe $400 on a $30000 contract. I drove myself nuts one time because I figured out after the fact that I could have gotten the guy down another 1-2% on my wife’s new car. I eventually realized that I was really happy that we got a great car and I honestly would have paid 2 grand more for it if that’s what the price was.

 

[Sandisw]

Ive just paid $142pp for 200 points at BLT, March UY. 400 for 2020 (200 banked) and 200 for 2021. Decent deal?!

If it makes you feel better, I am paying $150/pt. But it was the right UY, a100 point contract..which was In the range I wanted to be and hade triple points...2018, 2019, and 2020.

I figure it’s about $10/ higher than I should have paid, but in the long run, the extra $1k was worth it for the perfect contract...which this was for me.

Not to mention, that the money I am getting for selling BWV will cover the entire cost, which was really my first priority right now,

In a couple years, I’ll add more if need be! Lol

 

[macman123]

Ah. I am happy with the deal. I have bonus points and I got them down from $155.
I have another contract which I brought 2 weeks ago for $139pp, so not much difference for the same contract with same points (inc banked)

 

[squirrel!33]

Assuming you will be able to use the banked points in the next year, I think this is a very good price for double points based on the prices that have been listed.

 

[John Purcell]

Where do you think DVC resale prices are headed?

Below is the average asking on the aggregating site and my guesses for what resale contacts that come on the market will average for the next 6 months, what are yours?

actuals in (###)
.
.........3/20 .....4/1 ............5/1 ...6/1 7/1 8/1 9/1



AKV 114 110(107) 105(110) 100 96 92 90

AUL 101 98(97) 95(98) 90 85 82 80

BLT 150 140(147) 135(144) 130 128 124 124

BCV 147 145(150) 140(143) 135 132 130 128

BWV 126 120(120) 115(120) 110 106 103 100

BRV 100 95(100) 90(96) 85 80 76 72

CCV 155 150(150) 142(155) 136 128 125 125

VGF 177 172(170) 168(163) 165 162 160 158

HH 81 78(76) 72(77) 68 65 62 60

OKW 102 97(101) 90(104) 84 78 72 70

POLY 148 142(131) 136(136) 130 125 120 120

SS 106 100(105) 94(100) 88 85 82 80

VB 67 64(68) 60(64) 56 52 50 48

This is my FIRST EVER reply on this site. And I am a huge longtime fan. In fact I am an avid fan on a competitor and they let me post to your opinions (!).

Here are some counteroffers I refused due to the fact that DVC contracts (especially middle aged ones) are crashing.
Yesterday: 100 points. SSR. $80 per point
Today (I thought it was the same, but not, different usage, etc) : $80 per point
Saturday: AKL $91 per point /220 points
Boardwalk- 40 min ago. $100/ point - 200 points

(NONE stripped, two did have high closing fees - $900-$1400)

Guys and gals, things are out there and we’ll priced.But there’s a dam about to break when opportunists leave after further depreciation. When volume thins, who knows when, but more importantly who knows how low the point values can go

 

[Drewferin]

This is my FIRST EVER reply on this site. And I am a huge longtime fan. In fact I am an avid fan on a competitor and they let me post to your opinions (!).

Here are some counteroffers I refused due to the fact that DVC contracts (especially middle aged ones) are crashing.
Yesterday: 100 points. SSR. $80 per point
Today (I thought it was the same, but not, different usage, etc) : $80 per point
Saturday: AKL $91 per point /220 points
Boardwalk- 40 min ago. $100/ point - 200 points

(NONE stripped, two did have high closing fees - $900-$1400)

Guys and gals, things are out there and we’ll priced.But there’s a dam about to break when opportunists leave after further depreciation. When volume thins, who knows when, but more importantly who knows how low the point values can go

Which brokers were these mainly listed with?

 

[sky2823]

Let me preface this by saying, I don’t think Disney will declare bankruptcy. However, hypothetically say covid sticks around for longer than everyone thinks and the parks and cruise lines are closed. Does anyone know what happens to DVC contracts if there is a Disney bankruptcy (reorg)? Do we retain our rights to the deeds when the exit bankruptcy?

 

[bookwormde]

5/5 update

number of newly posted resale contracts at about 120% of average