Weather.com's track: "Earl's center likely won't spend much time, if at all, over the Bay of Campeche Friday into early Saturday, so any re-intensification over water should be minimal.
Earl will continue westward as a tropical depression or remnant low over interior southern Mexico this weekend, but one threat looms large despite this weakening.
Rainfall totals of 8-12 inches (locally higher) are possible along the path of Earl in parts of Belize, Guatemala and southern Mexico, including parts of the Yucatan Peninsula. Dangerous flash flooding and mudslides are possible through the weekend in these areas."