As to the waitlist for BLT you are within 30 days but I assume you did the longer waitlist rather than the default one which expires before 30 days out (and the only one to use when you need fewer points for the change than you are already using on the resort you have so you avoid the holding account). NYE is going to be tough to get. nevertheless, when you are this late into the process you should not just rely on waitlist but should call every two to three days to see if anything is available.