TS Chris forms

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Here we go!

Tropical storm Chris

[IMG]http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT03/refresh/AL0306W5_sm2+gif/084600W_sm.gif

 

[Netty]

I knew it was too good to be true-no real threats up to now, well thankyou chris for turning up just before i go away.fingers crossed it will stay a tropical storm.

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

I knew it was too good to be true-no real threats up to now, well thankyou chris for turning up just before i go away.fingers crossed it will stay a tropical storm.

I think (no expert mind you) that it will turn and run along the east cost of Florida.
Yours Sincerely
Michael Fish

 

[carolfoy]

I think (no expert mind you) that it will turn and run along the east cost of Florida.
Yours Sincerely
Michael Fish

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Michael fish here again
Whatever you do, don't look at the storm track in post #1, it seems to have updated itself and I could be wrong about the track (again!)

 

[Miffy2003]

Let's hope Chris goes!

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Bump.
Please see picture in first post. a couple of very wet days to come it seems

 

[jen_uk]

Am I the only one who doesn't understand the pictures.....!

 

[Howard412]

grr i have a clearer picture showing projected path/timeframe, which i can't post because of my newbie-ness. Hope the mods don't give me a slap on the wrist for trying to bypass the URL filter for this one;

image.weather.c.om/images/maps/tropical/map_tropprjpath03_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg

just remove my strategically placed fullstop!

 

[Miffy2003]

No slap from me, Howard

Here is the link:

image.weather.com/images/maps/tropical/map_tropprjpath03_ltst_5nhato_enus_600x405.jpg

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

Am I the only one who doesn't understand the pictures.....!

Jen,
Looking at the picture at the start of the thread.
The black dot with the orange circle outside is Chris's current position.
the balc line with the black dosts with S H in them is Chris's projected path. the S stands for "storm" and well, H is for the dreaded "Hurricane" the times and days are the projected position of the eye of the Hurricane at those times and on those days.
the white area is the area to be affected by the hurricane for the next 1-3 days, and the white lined area is the projected area to be effected by storms, rain and winds in the next 4 to 5 days.

So Chris should turn to hurricane winds by 8AM EST Thursday morning

hope that helps

 

[snookhams]

If Chris stays on the path predicted at the moment ~ do you think that it will have any affect on Flights out at the weekend. We endured Charlie a couple of years ago (5 days without any power in August in Florida is no joke believe me) and are concerned that it might affect our outbound flight on Saturday!!!

 

[Howard412]

No slap from me, Howard

Thanks

 

[Queenie]

It looks too low to affect flights if it stays on that track as the planes come down the coast, I think you should be fine.

I saw that Sandy is on the list of names for this year, my mum's called that and we're keeping our fingers crossed that they won't be meeting up!

 

[jen_uk]

Jen,
Looking at the picture at the start of the thread.
The black dot with the orange circle outside is Chris's current position.
the balc line with the black dosts with S H in them is Chris's projected path. the S stands for "storm" and well, H is for the dreaded "Hurricane" the times and days are the projected position of the eye of the Hurricane at those times and on those days.
the white area is the area to be affected by the hurricane for the next 1-3 days, and the white lined area is the projected area to be effected by storms, rain and winds in the next 4 to 5 days.

So Chris should turn to hurricane winds by 8AM EST Thursday morning

hope that helps

Ahhhh I see! Thanks Obi!

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

If Chris stays on the path predicted at the moment ~ do you think that it will have any affect on Flights out at the weekend. We endured Charlie a couple of years ago (5 days without any power in August in Florida is no joke believe me) and are concerned that it might affect our outbound flight on Saturday!!!

the picture at the startb of the thread has updated, Chris is now predicted to be farther west/south west than originally thought, so Orlando seems to be missing the storm.

 

[angel659]

Phew for those who are going. I was wondering where are the storms?

 

[Eljay]

http://www.noaa.org/

This mornings weather report shows that TS Chris has lost strength overnight and is staying toward the South, skimming Cuba then emerging into the Gulf of Mexico. Whether it strengthens and where it will go is anyone's guess.

 

[Obi Wan Kenobi]

YAY!

Issued at: 10:34 AM AST 8/3/06 (gateway).


Chris likely to weaken to a depression later today,

At 11 am ast, 1500 utc, the government of the dominican republic has discontinued the tropical storm watch for the north coast of the dominican republic west of cabo frances viejo.

A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the turks and caicos islands, and for the southeastern bahamas, including the acklins, crooked island, the inaguas, mayaguana, and the ragged islands. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 36 hours.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your local weather office.

At 1100 am ast, 1500z, the center of tropical storm chris was located near latitude 20.5 north, longitude 67.3 west or about 255 miles, 410 km, east-southeast of grand turk island.

Chris is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph, 19 km/hr, and a west to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next 24 hours.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph, 65 km/hr, with higher gusts. Chris is expected to weaken to a tropical depression later today.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles, 130 km northeast of the center.

Estimated minimum central pressure is 1012 mb, 29.88 inches.

Chris is expected to produce total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with isolated totals of up to 5 inches over the higher terrain of puerto rico, the u.s. And british virgin islands, and the dominican republic. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are possible over the southeast bahamas, the turks and caicos islands, and northern haiti through Friday.

Repeating the 1100 am ast position, 20.5 n, 67.3 w. Movement toward, west-northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds, 40 mph. Minimum central pressure, 1012 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane center at 200 pm ast followed by the next complete advisory at 500 pm ast.

 

[Miffy2003]

Good news