Originally posted by bsnyder
It was just upgraded to Tropical Storm Earl. Expected to reach Hurricane status by Monday.
000
WTNT35 KNHC 141751
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2 PM AST SAT AUG 14 2004
...DEPRESSION MOVING QUICKLY TOWARD THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS...ST. VINCENT...AND
ST. LUCIA. THIS WATCH WILL LIKELY BE CHANGED TO A WARNING LATER
TODAY. INTERESTS AROUND THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD CLOSELY
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.5 WEST OR
ABOUT 455 MILES... 735 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH
...39 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT
24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL MOVE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS ON SUNDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN INTO A TROPICAL STORM
LATER TODAY.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...10.5 N... 53.5 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 24 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
FORECASTER PASCH
