rsn8or
Earning My Ears
- Joined
- Oct 1, 2019
- Messages
- 15
We just signed the contract a few days ago to become owners at the Poly! Really excited as we will be first-time owners and we've been eyeing this for over a year now.
The contract is for 110 points @ $149 with an October use year, with no points until 2021. Looking at some of the deals people got earlier this year and in the ROFR thread, I can't help but have a sense of FOMO and think we may be overpaying.
Here is our reasoning though.
1. We want the October UY because we live in FL and like to visit when the weather is nice between November and April. My understanding is that Sept and Oct use years are hard to find.
2. We want to book a trip in Dec 2021 with the home resort priority because we really love Poly, and if we wait much longer to buy a contract, we won't be able to book at 11 months. Even this I know is cutting it a little close with the time it is taking for points to get loaded in our account, we are looking at January possibly before we can even make our first reservation.
3. If we want to use some points in spring 2021, we can probably just rent what we want, rather than pay more for a loaded contract. I know this won't be the case for long, but last month we rented a weekend at Beach Club for $9/pt, lol.
3. On the instant sale/valuation tool on DVC resale market, this contract has an 'instant sale' price of $134 and an automated valuation of $161. I know the brokers are putting upward pressure on prices right now. But if you split the difference on these valuations, you get $147.50 which is really close. If the broker values their time to facilitate a deal at their 8.5% commission, if you add that to $134, you get $147.50. (I have no idea what their actual formula is -- just a guess because the math makes sense) And the instant sale is their $, so they are "putting their money where their mouth is", so to speak. I've had my eyes on Poly listings at 8 different resale sites, and I only see prices go under $150 if it's a larger contract of 150+ points. The ~100 pointers are consistently in the $160-$170 range, even stripped, and they would have to come down at least 10% to get to $149.
So, are we crazy?
The contract is for 110 points @ $149 with an October use year, with no points until 2021. Looking at some of the deals people got earlier this year and in the ROFR thread, I can't help but have a sense of FOMO and think we may be overpaying.
Here is our reasoning though.
1. We want the October UY because we live in FL and like to visit when the weather is nice between November and April. My understanding is that Sept and Oct use years are hard to find.
2. We want to book a trip in Dec 2021 with the home resort priority because we really love Poly, and if we wait much longer to buy a contract, we won't be able to book at 11 months. Even this I know is cutting it a little close with the time it is taking for points to get loaded in our account, we are looking at January possibly before we can even make our first reservation.
3. If we want to use some points in spring 2021, we can probably just rent what we want, rather than pay more for a loaded contract. I know this won't be the case for long, but last month we rented a weekend at Beach Club for $9/pt, lol.
3. On the instant sale/valuation tool on DVC resale market, this contract has an 'instant sale' price of $134 and an automated valuation of $161. I know the brokers are putting upward pressure on prices right now. But if you split the difference on these valuations, you get $147.50 which is really close. If the broker values their time to facilitate a deal at their 8.5% commission, if you add that to $134, you get $147.50. (I have no idea what their actual formula is -- just a guess because the math makes sense) And the instant sale is their $, so they are "putting their money where their mouth is", so to speak. I've had my eyes on Poly listings at 8 different resale sites, and I only see prices go under $150 if it's a larger contract of 150+ points. The ~100 pointers are consistently in the $160-$170 range, even stripped, and they would have to come down at least 10% to get to $149.
So, are we crazy?
