Weather in the fall is always "in flux." We're there every Nov. and wear jeans and short sleeves, and jackets once the sun goes down. If there is a breeze, it can get COLD, and about half of the past 6 or 7 years it has rained at some point during Thanksgiving week and the weekend following. Best bet is to start checking the local weather report the week before you leave, and see what the predictions say.