Digging into this further now that I have a bit more time.
First, it looks like it's based on when Labor Day lands. 2020 had the same Labor Day date and the same season for this week.
For us, this takes a 142pt stay and makes it 232pts in 2026.
Not sure we can push it back a week to go back into 142pt territory, anticipating work engagements. Slipping it a day back to include Labor Day drops it to 211pts. Still roughly a 50% increase in points for the ~same weekend.
Might do a switcheroo with VDH for 'late Labor Day' years, which would be 146pts, and then do VGC when we normally do VDH a couple months later.
The switcheroo would take our annual DL stays from 456pts combined (142 + 142 + 172) to 462pts combined (142 + 146 + 174), vs. holding steady with our dates would be 546pts combined (or 525pts by slipping our Sept stay back 1 day).
We have room in our points budget to accommodate the 456pt/525pt fluctuation longterm, but having a really hard time overcoming the '50% more points for the same weekend' mental hurdle. Likely going to do the 456pt/462pt fluctuation going forward.